Carley Garner's "Higher Probability Commodity Trading"

Carley Garner's new book "Higher Probability Commodity Trading" takes readers on an unprecedented journey through the treacherous commodity markets; shedding light on topics rarely discussed in trading literature from a unique perspective, with the intention of increasing the odds of success for market participants.

In its quest to guide traders through the process of commodity market analysis, strategy development, and risk management, Higher Probability Commodity Trading discusses several alternative market concepts and unconventional views such as option selling tactics, hedging futures positions with options, and combining the practice of fundamental, technical, seasonal, and sentiment analysis to gauge market price changes.

Carley, is a frequent contributor of commodity market analysis to CNBC's Mad Money TV show hosted by Jim Cramer. She has also been a futures and options broker, where for over a decade she has had a front row seat to the victories and defeats the commodity markets deal to traders.

Garner has a knack for portraying complex commodity trading concepts, in an easy-to-read and entertaining format. Readers of Higher Probability Commodity Trading are sure to walk away with a better understanding of the futures and options market, but more importantly with the benefit of years of market lessons learned without the expensive lessons.

Get Higher Probability Commodity Trading on Amazon....Get it Here!

Equities Fight to Hold Up While EU & US Data Give Mixed Signals

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Investors and traders just can’t seem to catch a break when it comes to economic news. For example Tuesday in the United States we saw strong ISM manufacturing numbers which surprised the market. The numbers were way above expectations and it triggered a feeding frenzy in US based investments like stocks and the green back.

The following session Italy reported terrible PMI and unemployment rate numbers which took most of the wind out the European and US stocks. One day the data is great, next day it’s bad…

The strong numbers in the US have everyone including myself thinking that this week’s jobless claims (unemployment rate) will be down. If this is the case then we will see stocks jump along with the dollar, much like what we saw trader do last Tuesday which is what Jim Cramer says best – BUY BUY BUY.

Normally we do not see the dollar index rally along with stocks but if EU continues to show signs of weakness then it is very likely the dollar and equities inverse relationship could decouple. Reason being investors around the globe will focus their money on the more stable US investments like the dollar and US stocks.

The Dollar is Trading at a Major Tipping Point....Read the entire article.

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Cramer and Dykstra Pennystock scandal!

Wanted to get you this article as quickly as I could as it’s HUGE NEWS that could lead to some MAJOR changes. This article is courtesy of Tim Sykes, and I highly recommend jumping on his educational videos asap!

As I wrote a few weeks ago, the failed Trader Monthly magazine editor-in-thief, as several ex-employees refer to him, Randall Lane, has been writing his memoirs these past few months, exploring all the angles of what it’s like to bankrupt not just one but two magazines and deserve the absolute hatred of just about every person I talk to in the financial publishing world.

The guy owes money to nearly half a dozen financial writers and is the subject of one of my most popular blog posts ever.

But as an editor-in-thief who won’t stay down, he’s turned to his latest writing gig at The Daily Beast (along with reviewing NYC’s top restaurants???), he’s resorted to implicating Jim Cramer and his prodigal son Lenny Dykstra in a nasty penny stock promotion scandal in the article below.

Shady Randall Lane claims shady Jim Cramer employee Lenny Dykstra took “$250,000 worth of secretly issued stock—in exchange for recommending that stock to TheStreet.com subscribers” which makes Jim Cramer shady for recommending shady Lenny Dykstra as anything other than a thug (I’ve written about Dykstra too) Students of my video lessons know this kind of corruption goes on all the time and the beautiful thing is that its predictable enough to be consistently profitable for those who learn to identify it.

As Jim Cramer’s ratings and TheStreet.com’s ratings prove, nobody expected much from them anyway, but this is a great example of why I’ll probably NEVER have anyone else writing on my site–it’s just too easy to take a big wad of cash from some junky penny stock and pass it off as a real pick…scandalous but true.

I WILL NEVER TAKE A DIME OR SHARE FROM ANY PENNY STOCK OR THEIR SHAREHOLDERS, MY STRATEGY AND MY PICKS ARE PURE AND REAL.

It’s early in this case as Randall Lane’s word is about as solid as his financial publishing reputation (absolute shit), so read the article below and let’s see how this thing plays out…Cramer has made a ton of enemies over the years so I wouldn’t be surprised to see them pounce on this and make it bigger than it probably is:

Oh and please do try to ignore the passages that require further editing such as:
“I was running a company I had co-founded: Doubledown Media…” should read “I was running a company into the ground…”

Stay on top of this stuff like I do!



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Stock Market Smack Down “Fundamentals vs Technicals”

Every once in a while, we all like to flip the TV channels and watch Jim Cramer on CNBC. It’s not that Jim Cramer is a spectacular trader, he is a talented and amusing guy. The last time I tuned on the tube, CNBC’s Jim Cramer was naming his top five picks to get you through these recessionary times.

So here is a list of the five stocks that Mr. Cramer picked on the close of business on January 8, 2009.

Caterpillar: (NYSE_CAT) - Closed @ 44.08
Home Depot: (NYSE_HD) - Closed @ 24.38
Johnson and Johnson: (NYSE_JNJ ) - Closed @ 59.02
Hewlett - Packard Company: (NYSE_HPQ) - Closed @ 37.61
Verizon Communications: (NYSE_VZ) - Closed @ 32.42

So we decided to put MarketClub’s “Trade Triangle” technology right next to Jim Cramer’s picks to compare how we both have done for the past few weeks. The one thing that struck us as odd with Mr. Cramer’s trading, is that he never seems to implement a stop loss technique. He talks about money management, but never about the use of stops. He just seems to let his positions run. For example, in the case of Caterpillar (NYSE_CAT), Mr Cramer’s first pick is down 25% from the date it was recommended. I don’t know about you, but a 25% loss in any market is enough to give me the heebie jeebies.

Click Here To Check Out “Fundamentals vs Technicals” Video"

Admittedly that’s extreme, but if your only looking for a 25% up move and the stock is down 25% you really have to make 50% just to get back to even. It’s the type of trading I just don’t understand. I learned a long time ago that trying to pick bottoms and tops in the markets is a loser’s game and a futile exercise that can be very expensive.

So, if Mr. Cramer is long all the stocks listed above, what positions is MarketClub’s “Trade Triangle” technology suggesting for those stocks … are we long or are we short? Well, it turns out we are short all of the above stocks and we see the trend in those stocks as still being negative.

So what’s an investor to do? You can be entertained by Jim Cramer or you can use the “Trade Triangles” to scientifically make money in the markets. The great thing about MarketClub’s “Trade Triangle” technology is that there is no emotion in the signals, it is purely a mathematical algorithm that keeps you on the side with the better odds.

A systematic market proven program approach has flaws like anything else. However, if one follows an approach like this you will make money over time. It also allows you to sleep much better at night when using a systematic program to buy and sell stocks, futures, precious metals and the forex markets.

So while Mr. Cramer is enormously popular and entertaining, I’m not sure that I would want to put my money with this type of approach. I would much rather approach the market in a systematic, scientific way knowing that the odds are in my favor.

We will follow up on these trades when we receive a buy signal or an exit-short position signal and we’ll see exactly how our “Trade Triangle” technology is working vis-a-vis Mr. Cramer.

Please feel free to make comments on this post and if Mr. Cramer decides to cover his positions and you hear about it first let us know.

Click Here To Check Out “Fundamentals vs Technicals” Video"