Is It Time To Back The Dollar? Let's Go To The Chart

From Guest Blogger Adam Hewison......

I can't help it, “I love the forex markets.”

But what’s this?

Here we are going to hell in a hand basket in the US, yet everybody wants to own dollars. Go figure!

I have to say that the dollar may be the lesser of all evils in the financial world. Here’s what I mean by that statement: I heard that a Chinese businessman who lives in Hong Kong said that the stimulus plan would not work in China, simply because there is so much corruption.

I guess in the US we only have a few bad applies, while China it’s almost like they have orchards full of bad apples.

But I digress…

Let’s take a look at the US Dollar versus the Japanese Yen (USDJPY). A few weeks ago, we did a video outlining my predictions for this very cross.

Well, after being stopped out of our first position for a small loss, we had another signal based on our daily “Trade Triangle” technology, which issued another entry signal at a very good level. The level is clearly indicated on the chart and you’ll see this level in my new video for this cross.

The video, as always, is free of charge and there’s no need to register. This is an educational trading video to show you one of the most important technical chart formations and how to incorporate our “Trade Triangle” technology to come up with big winners.

This simple formation continues to show itself year after year.

Just Click Here To Enjoy The Video!

Enjoy the video, and please feel free to make your comments known on our blog. Before I forget, here’s the link to the first video we did on the USD/YEN cross a few weeks ago.

Click Here To Watch The First USD/Yen Video

What’s the target zone for USD/JPY and Is There Any Life Left In The USD/JPY?

We are finally seeing some life come back into the dollar/yen relationship…see how in this new video: Click Here To Watch Video

Trading the Forex is one of the most exciting and most profitable markets in the world.
In today’s short seven minute educational video, we explain step by step how to analyze the dollar and its relationship with the Yen. We also show you exactly what we think is happening right now in this relationship. Watch the video and see specific target zones where we think this cross is headed in the next several months.

The video is educational and to the point. Watch it with our compliments. You do not have to register to watch the video.

Forget The Experts, Trade The Trends And Sleep Good

I know, you hear it every day on the "alphabet" TV channels. These are tough times, what are you to do? Your portfolio is in the brink!

What you do is change your mind set. Stop investing, at least for now. And what I mean by that you should stop listening to the "experts" and become a trader. A trader who relies on trends. And believe me you can do this and sleep good at night.

My life as a trader changed upon meeting Adam Hewison and the guys at Market Club and INO.Com. Adam has a simple system for following the trends that has changed my life. The Market Club subscription is worth every penny, but Adam will let you sign up for a free account that will notify you daily of the trend of all of the stocks you include in your free account.

Here is a small example of what it looks like.....

Early this week the Chinese government announced a "Stimulus Package" that caused all of the commodities and especially the metals to pop. Let's say you have a position in Freeport McMoran, ticker FCX, and you are thinking "do I sell this rally, or back up the truck because it's off to the races"? Let's look at the chart from my free portfolio that was emailed to me.....

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FREEPORT-MCMORAN COPPER & GOLD (NYSE:FCX) Strong Downtrend Up Arrow

Smart Scan Chart Analysis confirms that a strong downtrend is in place and that the market remains negative longer term. Strong Downtrend with money management stops. A triangle indicates the presence of a very strong trend that is being driven by strong forces and insiders.

Based on a pre-defined weighted trend formula for chart analysis, FCX scored -100 on a scale from -100 (strong downtrend) to +100 (strong uptrend):

-10 Last Hour Close Below 5 hour Moving Average
-15 New 3 Day Low on Tuesday
-20 Last Price Below 20 Day Moving Average
-25 New 3 Week Low, Week Ending October 25th
-30 New 3 Month Low in October
-100 Total Score


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I quick look at the chart makes this a simple call to sell FCX on the rally caused by the catalyst created by the Chinese announcement. It is not even close, Freeport McMoran is trending down. And wouldn't you know it, FCX lost 10% right out of the gate this morning.

If you subscribe to the Market Club you will also be supplied your buy and sell signals with the Triangle Trading method. Again, worth every penny.

So forget what the experts are telling you and trade the trends. Take your life back and make money in any market.

Get your FREE favorite symbols' Trend Analysis TODAY! Click Here

Key Stock Market Commentary For Monday Evening

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENTARY
The U.S. stock indexes closed firmer today in quieter pre election trading. The stock index bears still have the near term technical advantage. However, there are now early technical clues to suggest market bottoms are in place or close at hand. However, as the weakening economic news continues to trickle into the marketplace, it will be hard for the stock market bulls to get excited about sustaining any solid uptrend in prices. Do remember that during serious economic weakness or recession that generally the stock market puts in a low well before all the bad economic news is reported.

ENERGY MARKETS
December crude oil closed down $3.84 at $63.97 a barrel today. Prices closed near the session low today. A firmer U.S. dollar pressured crude oil. Crude oil bears do still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices remain in a 3 1/2 month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December heating oil closed down 993 points at $1.9849 today. Prices closed near the session low. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage. A 3 1/2 month-old downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

December (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed down 1,302 points at $1.3657 today. Prices closed near the session low today and hit a fresh contract low. Bears are still in firm technical control. Prices are still in a 3 1/2 month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December natural gas closed up 5.1 cents at $6.834 today. Prices closed near the session high on tepid short covering in a bear market today. Bears remain in technical control of nat gas. The next upside price objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $7.332.

CURRENCIES
The December Euro currency closed down 116 points at 1.2625 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. Bears still have the near term technical advantage amid still no solid technical clues that a market low is close at hand. Prices are still in a 3 1/2 month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

The December Japanese yen closed down 37 points at 1.0103 today. Prices closed near mid range today. No serious chart damage has been inflicted but the yen bulls are fading and need to show fresh power soon. A 10 week old uptrend is still in place on the daily bar chart.

The December Swiss franc closed down 143 points at .8521 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and hit a fresh 14 month low. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage and gained more power today.

The December Canadian dollar closed up 127 points at .8452 today. Prices closed nearer the session high on short covering in a bear market. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage, but the bulls have gained some fresh upside technical momentum recently.

The December British pound closed down 303 points at 1.5803 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. Bears still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

The December U.S. dollar index closed up 520 points at 86.86 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. No serious chart damage has occurred recently and the bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage.



Precious Metals Market
December gold futures closed up $6.50 at $724.70 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. Short covering was featured. Bearish "outside markets"--a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices--limited the upside in gold today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage.

December silver futures closed steady at $9.73 an ounce today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices pressured the silver market today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage. Prices are still trading below a 3 1/2 month old downtrend line on the daily bar chart.
December N.Y. copper closed up 55 points at 183.45 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices limited the upside in copper today. Copper bears still have the near term technical advantage. Prices are still in a four month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

FOOD & FIBER
SOFTS
March sugar closed up 27 points at 12.29 cents today. Prices closed near the session high today on more short covering. Prices are still trading below a 2 1/2 month
old downtrend line drawn from the August and September highs.

December coffee closed down 5 points at 112.95 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today in quieter trading. Buying interest was limited by Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices. Coffee bears still have the near term technical advantage. Prices are still in a 10-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December cocoa closed down $86 at $1,967 today. Prices closed near the session low today amid bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices. Cocoa bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage and gained more power today.

December cotton closed up 27 points at 44.56 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low today in quiet trading. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices limited buying interest in cotton today. The cotton bears still have the solid near term technical advantage.

January orange juice closed up 65 points at $.8095. Prices closed near the session low today. Short covering was featured. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices limited the upside in FCOJ today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage as prices are still in a four month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

January lumber futures closed up $4.50 at $203.10 today. Prices closed near the session high and were supported by short covering in a bear market. Lumber bears still have the near-term technical advantage.

GRAINS
December corn futures closed up 3/4 cent at $4.02 1/4 today. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices pressured the corn market today. Prices traded sharply higher early in the session on short covering, but the gains faded as the day wore on.

January soybeans closed up 7 1/4 cents at $9.40 1/4 today. Prices closed near mid range today. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices did limit the upside in beans today. Short covering was featured today. Soybean bears remain in near term technical command.

December soybean meal closed up $1.90 at $274.90 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Short covering was featured. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage.

December bean oil closed up 114 points at 34.75 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today on short covering in a bear market. Bean oil prices are still in a four month old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage.

December Chicago SRW wheat closed up 25 3/4 cents at $5.62 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today on short covering. The wheat bears still have the overall near term technical advantage. Prices are still in a 6 1/2 month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

LIVESTOCK
December live cattle closed up $0.55 at $93.25 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh three week high on short covering. While the bears do still have the overall near term technical advantage, the bulls have gained some upside momentum recently, but have more work to do to better suggest a market low is in place. Prices are still trading below a four-month-old downtrend line on the daily bar chart.

November feeder cattle closed up $1.07 at $99.70 today. Prices closed near the session high today and closed at a fresh three-week high close on more short covering in a bear market. Bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage, but the bulls have gained technical momentum recently. Prices are still in a three month old downtrend on the daily bar chart, but now just barely.

December lean hogs closed down $0.40 at $54.40 today. Prices closed near the session low again today and hit a fresh contract low. Hog bears still have the near term technical advantage, amid bearish cash market fundamentals. Prices are still in a three month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

February pork bellies closed down $0.87 at $83.90 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and scored a fresh contract low. Bears still have the near term technical advantage. Prices are in a six week old downtrend on the daily bar chart.


December U.S. T-Bonds closed up 8/32 at 113 12/32 today. Prices closed nearer the session high on short covering in a bear market. T-Bonds and Notes will continue to likely trade in an inverse posture with the U.S. stock indexes. The next downside price objective for the T-Bond bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the October low of 112 17/32.

Stock Market Commentary For Monday Morning

The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight due to profit taking as it consolidates some of last Thursday's rally but remains above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1301.15. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the October 14th reaction high crossing at 1499.00 are needed to confirm that a bottom has been posted. If December renews this fall's decline, the 87% retracement level of the 2002-2007-rally crossing at 979.90 is the next downside target. The December NASDAQ 100 was down 3.50 pts. at 1333.50 as of 5:52 AM CST. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 1361.25. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1364.25. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1301.15. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1276.45. Overnight action sets the stage for a lower opening by December NASDAQ 100 when the day session begins later this morning.

The December S&P 500 index was slightly higher overnight as it consolidates above the 20-day moving average crossing at 941.00. Last week's breakout above this resistance level signals that a larger-degree short covering rally into early-November appears to be unfolding. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. However, it will take closes above the October 14th reaction high crossing at 1066.50 to confirm that a bottom has been posted. If December renews this fall's decline, the March 2003 low crossing at 787.50 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 984.00. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 992.20. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 941.00. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 924.25. The December S&P 500 Index was up 2.70 pts. at 970.00 as of 5:58 AM CST. Overnight action sets the stage for a higher opening by the December S&P 500 index when the day session begins later this morning.

December crude oil was lower overnight as it consolidates below the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008-rally crossing at 68.84. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 72.96 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December renews this fall's decline, the 75% retracement level of the aforementioned rally crossing at 51.81 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 70.60. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 72.96. First support is last Monday's low crossing at 61.30. Second support is the 75% retracement level crossing at 51.81.

Must See Dollar Index Video

Rarely do I find something that I feel like my readers just have to see. This is one of those times. I know we all get bombarded everyday with the latest hot stock picks and trading methods, but Adam Hewison with INO.Com has a new video that will open your eyes to trading the Dollar Index, Ticker DX.

I am always a sceptic, but the returns I have made on Adam’s advice during these turbulent times have made me eager for every new video he puts out. Do your portfolio and your grandchildren a favor and take a few minutes to watch the video.

Click Here To Watch DX Index Video