tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31792654124626447292024-03-14T10:03:15.003-07:00Ray's Stock WorldUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger776125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-24093689815920030292020-12-14T20:16:00.001-08:002020-12-14T20:16:13.527-08:00Custom Index Charts Suggest U.S. Stock Market Ready for a Pause<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhE2CaJ7iUh0whSjoPh_8rCxc764g8lkbcNluKzsWRJvqBzFMiz5pZrfQBpdSCW0aFN8NUgVdykXbHAkvBjjjZEDMDuo59sniLJJeT9lf4WPBHeV0A9m4d-2HoSPUi7y2eabCBfPB01qEc/s868/TTT+12-13-2020.png" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="465" data-original-width="868" height="149" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhE2CaJ7iUh0whSjoPh_8rCxc764g8lkbcNluKzsWRJvqBzFMiz5pZrfQBpdSCW0aFN8NUgVdykXbHAkvBjjjZEDMDuo59sniLJJeT9lf4WPBHeV0A9m4d-2HoSPUi7y2eabCBfPB01qEc/w280-h149/TTT+12-13-2020.png" width="280" /></a></div>Weeks after the Election Rally initiated a moderately strong upside breakout rally, our Custom Index charts suggest the US stock market may be ready for a brief pause in trending before any new trends continue. Global traders and investors jumped into the US stock market just days before the US elections expecting something big to take place. The rally that initiated just days before the US election pushed our Custom Index charts well into the upper range of the 2016 to 2018 upward sloping price channel. This suggests the US stock markets have ended the downward price reversion and are now attempting to extend into the upward price channel....attempting to resume the upward trending that started after the 2016 elections.
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Weekly Smart Cash and Volatility Indexes
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The Weekly Smart Cash Index, below, highlights the impressive rally recently and the upward sloping price channel that is back in play for price. The highlighted range of the upward sloping price channel is actually the lower half of the std deviation range of the 2016 to 2018 price channel. So, as of right now, the Smart Cash Index price level has yet to really breach the middle of this channel and is still only within the lower half of the channel. Still, the support near the lower boundary of this level has been retested two or three times over the past six months and held. This suggests the lower channel level (the lower heavy BLUE line) is now acting as moderate price support....<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=3594"><b>Continue Reading Here</b></a>.
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-37288028082093713212020-03-30T18:36:00.003-07:002020-03-30T18:36:49.497-07:00Three Charts Every Trader and Investor Must SeeUnderstanding the stock market and its potential through the use of technical analysis and historical price events has been proven repeatedly to outperform all forms of fundamental trading styles. The following is a story that walks you through my experience, the shift in my mindset and how I came to the conclusion that the three charts I share in this article are critical to your understanding of to make money in today’s market!
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When I first learned to trade, I got all caught up with researching companies and finding the ones with the best earnings and future growth. I did that for several years after studying and following many “professional traders” who said it was the best way to trade and invest long term. We lost our shirts during the 2000 bear market by continuing to trade on fundamentals as stocks fell in value week after week. Even the companies that showed quarterly earnings growth fell in value – none of it seemed to make any sense to me, and it was very frustrating.
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Losing money when buying the best companies made no logical sense, making me step back from the markets and ask myself, ‘what am I doing wrong here‘. People today are asking themselves the same question given today’s dizzying markets:
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<b>· </b>Telsa shares fell from $971 a share down to $347, whopping 63% drop, in only a few weeks and then rebounded again too xx
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<b>· </b>Netflix is down 30%, even though people are stuck at home desperately trying to find things to watch)
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<b>·</b> Amazon has fallen 26% in the past couple of weeks despite soaring demand for their delivery services
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<b>·</b> GDXJ, the gold miners sector that is typically a safe haven during times of volatility, crashed 57% even though gold is usually a safe haven during times of volatility.
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So, what was I doing wrong? I started calling and visiting traders who were making money during the bear market to see what they were doing, and 100% of them were doing the same thing – Trading with Technical Analysis. I wasn’t doing anything wrong, per se. I was simply using the wrong tools and analysis for success!
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What is Technical Analysis? In short, it’s the study of price, time, and volatility of any asset using price charts and indicators. Traders use technical analysis to find cycles and patterns in the market and trade on the analysis of preferred indicators as opposed to the fundamentals of a company and/or the economy in general.
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When you start studying technical traders, you will notice every trader has a particular time frame, a preferred set of indicators, and trading frequency that fits their unique personality and lifestyle. Their brains can see the charts in ways you and I may not see them to predict future price direction over the next few hours, days, weeks, or months ahead. I quickly learned there are infinite ways to trade using technical analysis.
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I was very surprised by how much these pro traders allowed me. While standing over their shoulders, I was looking at their charts to try to divine their high-level strategies and learn how they think, analyze, and trade. It was amazing how different each of them traded the market. Some traded currencies; others traded stocks, indexes, options, futures, etc. Most were day traders, swing traders, or a mix of the two. But none of them gave me their secret sauce. That is why I turned 100% of my focus to technical analysis. I was excited at the prospect of being able to profit from both rising and falling prices and no concern for anything other than price action reduced my research time dramatically. It was and is the biggest AH-HA moment of my life and a turning point for my career as a trader.
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The year was 2001, when I made the shift to technical analysis. I unsubscribed from everything fundamental based. I canceled my CNBC, stopped listening to news, and stopped reading other people’s reports altogether. My goal was to create my own technical trading strategy that best suited my personality and lifestyle. I would have to discover the securities I was most comfortable trading, the frequency I would trade, and the type and amount of risk I was prepared to take.
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I traded options, covered-calls, currencies, stocks, ETFs, and futures. From day trading to position trading (holding several months), I tried it all, hoping something would click for me to pursue at a much deeper level. Day trading, momentum, and swing trading were my sweet spots. Having three of them was a bonus as I know some traders only ever master one in their lifetime if they are lucky. I grew a liking for trading the major indexes like the DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq… great liquidity with big money always at play.
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Along my journey, I realized that if I could predict the overall market trend direction for the day or week, then I could day trade small cap stocks in the same direction as the index, knowing 80+% of the stocks follow the general stock market trend. I could generate much larger gains in a very short period of time. As time went on, I became comfortable predicting, trading, and profiting from the indexes, and my new trading strategy began to emerge.
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I was fortunate enough to start learning about the markets and trading in college with a $2,000 E-Trade account, and then retiring (kinda) in 2009 at the age of 28. I built my dream home on the water, bought cars and boats, and spent time traveling with my growing family. I love trading and sharing my analysis with others – it is better than I had ever imagined and why I continue to help thousands of traders around the world every day with <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">these video courses Trading System Mastery</a>, and <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tiyb/">Trading As Your Business</a>.
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I contribute 100% of my trading success and lifestyle to the fact that I embraced technical analysis, where my strategy involves nothing more than price movement, position-sizing, and trade risk management techniques. All these allow me to easily reduce exposure, drawdowns, and losses with proper position sizing and protective strategies. If you want quick and simple, read about my journey and core trading tools in <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2-2/">my book Technical Trading Mastery – 7 Steps to Win with Logic</a>. My strategy is represented by human psychology and historical trading, as expressed in the three charts below.
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<b>Chart 1 – Human Psychology is What Drives Price Action</b></div>
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This chart is my favorite as it explains trader and investor psychology at various market stages. It also includes a simplified market cycle in the upper right corner, letting you know where the maximum financial risk is for investors and the highest opportunity for a trade.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6pU8mrlvdEUA_vsVbZDOGqOiIOxtX5GxWQZcBRXGgPBDVnzbjm-ZE02moyFbsZAiEgTu2Qv9xScy-sTGOhEPAZNCMl4jVRzCRixTlZ5O65pJ_PZmXnJrqLnMYavEchA_zLQO5dTj0s88/s1600/TTT+03-28-2020+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="515" data-original-width="719" height="457" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6pU8mrlvdEUA_vsVbZDOGqOiIOxtX5GxWQZcBRXGgPBDVnzbjm-ZE02moyFbsZAiEgTu2Qv9xScy-sTGOhEPAZNCMl4jVRzCRixTlZ5O65pJ_PZmXnJrqLnMYavEchA_zLQO5dTj0s88/s640/TTT+03-28-2020+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b>Chart 2 – 2000 Stock Market Top & Bear Market That Followed</b></div>
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The chart may look a little overwhelming, but look at each part and compare it to the market psychology chart above. What happened in 2000 is what I feel is happening this year with the stock market sell-off.
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In 2000, all market participants learned of at the same time was that there were no earnings coming from their darling .com stocks. Knowing they were not going to make money for a long time, everyone started selling these terrible stocks, and the market collapsed 40% very quickly.
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What is similar between 2000 and 2020? Simple really. COVID-19 virus has halted a huge portion of business activity, travel, purchases, sporting events, etc. Everyone knows earnings are going to be poor, and many companies are going to go bankrupt. It is blatantly clear to everyone this is bad and will be for at least 6-12 months in corporate earnings; therefore, everyone is in a rush to sell their stock shares and are in a panic to unload them before everyone does.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhN04KJ4Y8Eat3pDiYDKaUZIJSezTnEKulBFVTFyy0oY5S0A5wjkZbMko1LWxl_eLzApymZ7FZ5Kg1nDNu3c-70KMptSlLOaR48t-0SOhZk_mh3BmM_p8uOyqCo_WsazyvXjS0QxL_Wboo/s1600/TTT+03-28-2020+2+.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="522" data-original-width="840" height="396" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhN04KJ4Y8Eat3pDiYDKaUZIJSezTnEKulBFVTFyy0oY5S0A5wjkZbMko1LWxl_eLzApymZ7FZ5Kg1nDNu3c-70KMptSlLOaR48t-0SOhZk_mh3BmM_p8uOyqCo_WsazyvXjS0QxL_Wboo/s640/TTT+03-28-2020+2+.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b>Chart 3 – The 2020 Stock Market Top Looks to Be Unfolding</b></div>
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As you can see, this chart below of this year’s market crash is VERY similar to that of 2000 thus far, it’s based on a similar mindset, which is the fear of losing money, which causes everyone to sell their positions.
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I am hopeful that we get a 25-30% rally from these lows before the market starts to fall and continue the new bear market, which I believe we are entering. Only the price will confirm the direction and major trend to follow, and since we follow price action and do not pick tops or bottoms, all we have to do is watch, learn, and trade when price favors new low risk, high reward trade setups.
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It does not matter which way the market crashes from here, we will either profit from the next leg down, or will miss/avoid it depending on if we get a tradable setup. Either cause is a win, just one makes money, while the worst case scenario just preserves capital in a cash position, you can’t complain either way if you ask me.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1ceKQVNRcUJgqrlXBG5FmFrIg4KTXPVi_0ahXfc_1NRKCRbc2VQ4pzlk5N3djx-TLRkcIa2uEmXM53TvFji7jHW2HdDl9FfFBiLgD2Ig6N0b9GqJ8TSZKEx63hNlyoFfCRV7X65IMuKs/s1600/TTT+03-28-2020+3+-+Edited.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="522" data-original-width="828" height="402" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1ceKQVNRcUJgqrlXBG5FmFrIg4KTXPVi_0ahXfc_1NRKCRbc2VQ4pzlk5N3djx-TLRkcIa2uEmXM53TvFji7jHW2HdDl9FfFBiLgD2Ig6N0b9GqJ8TSZKEx63hNlyoFfCRV7X65IMuKs/s640/TTT+03-28-2020+3+-+Edited.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b>Concluding Thoughts</b></div>
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In short, is if you lost money during the recent market crash, then you likely have not mastered a technical trading strategy and do not have proper trade management rules in place. All traders must manage risk and trades to be sure you lock in profits and limit losses when prices start pullback or collapse. Without either of these, you will not be able to achieve long term success/gains, and that’s a fact.
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While we can all make money during a bull market when stocks are rising, if you cannot retain or grow your account during market downturns, then you may as well be a passive buy and hold investors. You are better at riding the emotional investor rollercoaster without wasting your time and effort as a trader if you are not going to spend the time and money to learn to follow someone to become a successful trader. Without proven trading strategies or someone to follow, you are more likely to underperform a long term passive investor.
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I get dozens of emails from people every week trying to trade this wild stock market and use leveraged ETFs, which doing so during these unprecedented market conditions is absolute craziness if you ask me.
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These people think that because there are big moves in the market, they should be trading. That big money should be made trading them, which drives me crazy because it could not be further from the truth unless you are a scalp or day trader. To me, in this market condition, it’s about preserving capital, not risking it, in my opinion.
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A subscriber to my <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">market video analysis and ETF trading newsletter</a> said it perfectly:
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“Always intrigues me how many amateur surfers get to the north shore beaches in Hawaii, take one look at monster waves and conclude it’s way too dangerous. Yet the amateur trader looks at treacherous markets like these and wants to dive right in!!” Richard P.
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I have to toot my own horn here a little because subscribers and I had our trading accounts close at a new high watermark for our accounts. We not only exited the equities market as it started to roll over we profited from the sell off in a very controlled way.
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I hope you found this informative, and if you would like to get a pre-market video every day before the opening bell, along with my trade alerts, visit my ETF swing trading <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">visit my website at The Technical Traders</a>.
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Chris Vermeulen<br />
Founder of <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">The Technical Traders </a><br />
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-24193669959142791582020-02-24T12:28:00.000-08:002020-02-24T12:28:07.334-08:00Gold Rallies as Fear Take Center StageGold has rallied extensively from the lows near $1560 over the past 2 weeks. At first, this rally didn’t catch too much attention with traders, but now the rally has reached new highs above $1613 and may attempt a move above $1750 as metals continue to reflect the fear in the global markets.
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We’ve been warning our friends and followers of the real potential in precious metals for many months – actually since early 2018. Our predictive modeling system suggests Gold will rally above $1650 very quickly, then possibly stall a bit before continuing higher to target the $1750 range.
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The one thing all skilled traders must consider is the longer term fear that is building in the markets. Many traders are <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/is-the-technology-sector-setting-up-for-a-crash-part-iv"><span style="color: blue;">concerned about the global economy with the Coronavirus</span></a> spreading economic worries throughout Asia, Japan, and Europe. We believe this fear will push precious metals continually higher over the next 24+ months with a real upside target above $2100 eventually.
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Right now, skilled traders need to <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/gold-rallies-as-fear-take-center-stage"><span style="color: blue;">understand that wave after wave of higher price rotation</span></a> will continue to happen in Gold and Silver. If you missed the $1450 level and missed the $1550 level, this is your time to attempt to find your entry point near $1650 or below that level. Ultimately, real fear has yet to result in a parabolic rally in Gold and Silver – but it is likely going to happen within the next 24+ months.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhFjMXSZ5oP2RVSrb7ayxXYYklp6DmazafC7FkYtDDCwYmpJS6TupcIM4jxELs5DR3IrknNqn6omespmr9fjXPoo3Rad1akvQPr9G5dTVq2abtKnUJDYYDBEz1OI8vSN2PPwdQuJVjjl2s/s1600/Screenshot+2020-02-22+at+6.50.44+PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="473" data-original-width="878" height="344" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhFjMXSZ5oP2RVSrb7ayxXYYklp6DmazafC7FkYtDDCwYmpJS6TupcIM4jxELs5DR3IrknNqn6omespmr9fjXPoo3Rad1akvQPr9G5dTVq2abtKnUJDYYDBEz1OI8vSN2PPwdQuJVjjl2s/s640/Screenshot+2020-02-22+at+6.50.44+PM.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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As skilled traders, our Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that any price rotation below $1550 would be an excellent buying opportunity. These levels really depend on where the current rally ends and what happens in the global markets over the next 60+ days.
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Less than 7 days ago, we published this research article suggesting that our ADL predictive modeling system was telling us that Gold would rally above $1650 within 15 to 30 days. It is very likely this rally will start a multiple leg upside price advance in precious metals where Silver will finally breach the $20 to $21 level as Gold advances higher.
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<b>February 13, 2020: Predictive Modeling Suggests Gold Will Break Above $1650 Within 15 - 30 Days</b><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifBwAOXNfJZ-ZXxldyeNHhEYNsuefVm9ul9IqW5yawvlbARfBTsdk9Ol5b_oYDL0NlMZyegg1UfMl98LtVHW0GRS_BsKsLF1HXqwvMblDXAXg2KpD47ACyK2LYcTowByAEIZnp2XD6ejs/s1600/Screenshot+2020-02-22+at+6.52.33+PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="462" data-original-width="855" height="344" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifBwAOXNfJZ-ZXxldyeNHhEYNsuefVm9ul9IqW5yawvlbARfBTsdk9Ol5b_oYDL0NlMZyegg1UfMl98LtVHW0GRS_BsKsLF1HXqwvMblDXAXg2KpD47ACyK2LYcTowByAEIZnp2XD6ejs/s640/Screenshot+2020-02-22+at+6.52.33+PM.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Once fear really enters the markets, we’ll see huge sector rotation and a massive price reversion event take place. Historically, Gold and Silver will react to this move, but the parabolic price move in precious metals will come 4 to 6+ months after the reversion event in the global markets. So, from a historical standpoint, any entry-level near current price levels is exceptional.
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Trust us, you really don’t want to miss this next move in precious metals. Our Fibonacci price modeling system and Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system are suggesting price levels above $2400 as an ultimate upside price target for Gold.
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">Join my Swing Trading ETF Wealth Building Newsletter</a> if you like what you read here and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own.
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<br />
Chris Vermeulen<br />
<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">The Technical Traders</a><br />
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-77538062203371129922020-01-06T11:22:00.001-08:002020-01-06T11:27:20.974-08:00Are You Buying This - Can He Really Be Teaching People This?<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-69548357258214253482019-10-22T14:30:00.001-07:002020-01-06T11:24:10.343-08:00Revisiting Black Monday 1987Back in the day, for those of you that are old enough to remember and have experienced one of the most incredible trader psychology driven stock market decline in recent history. The difference between “Black Monday” and most of the other recent stock market declines is that October 19, 1987, was driven by a true psychological panic, what we consider true price exploration, after an incredible price rally.
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It is different than the DOT COM (2001) decline and vastly different than the Credit Market Crisis (2008-09) because both of those events were related to true fundamental and technical evaluations. In both of those instances, prices have been rising for quite some time, but the underlying fundamentals of the economics of the markets collapsed and the markets collapsed with future expectations. Before we get too deep, be sure to <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter</a>.
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Our researchers believe the setup prior to the Black Monday collapse is strangely similar to the current setup across the global markets. In 1982, Ronald Reagan was elected into his second term as the US President. Since his election in 1980, the US stock market has risen over 300% by August 1987.
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Reagan, much like President Trump, was elected after a long period of U.S. economic malaise and ushered in an economic boom cycle that really began to accelerate near August 1983 – near the end of his first term. The expansion from the lows of 1982, near 102.20, to the highs of 1987, near 337.90, in the S&P 500 prompted an incredible rally in the US markets for all global investors.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjf6pL9qjs1rYfftmwvh04FMUp7eafGxt_XBf2xDvj1qnV1nYPIGwHPj4qevw6ENbFKR3KF90mZ1Ir3fuk7kpcnTptpVWvJ9kFaCjDRDhmKxlbK561bCB-25P8IfF9gMqzEZV1BM1FtUTs/s1600/TTT+10-20-2019+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="484" data-original-width="807" height="382" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjf6pL9qjs1rYfftmwvh04FMUp7eafGxt_XBf2xDvj1qnV1nYPIGwHPj4qevw6ENbFKR3KF90mZ1Ir3fuk7kpcnTptpVWvJ9kFaCjDRDhmKxlbK561bCB-25P8IfF9gMqzEZV1BM1FtUTs/s640/TTT+10-20-2019+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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This is very similar to what has happened since 2015/16 in the markets and particularly after the November 2016 elections when the S&P500 bottomed near 1807.5 and has recently set hew highs near 3026.20 – a 67.4% price rally in just over 3 years.
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One can simply make the assumption that global investors poured capital in the US markets in 1983 to 1986 as the US markets entered a rally mode just like we suspect global investors have poured capital into the US markets after the 2016 US elections and have continued to seek value, safety, and returns in the US markets since. These incredible price rallies setup a very real potential for “true price exploration” when investors suddenly realize valuations may be out of control.
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So, what actually happened on October 19th, 1987 that was different than the last few market collapse events and why is it so similar to what is happening today?
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On October 19, 1987, a different set of circumstances took place. This was almost a perfect storm of sorts for the markets. The US markets had risen nearly 44% by August 1987 from the previous yearly close – a huge rally had taken place. Computer trading, which some people suspected may have been a reason for the price decline on October 19, was largely in its infancy.
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Floor traders were running the show in New York and Chicago. The London markets closed early the Friday, October 16, because of a weather event that was taking place. The “setup” of these events may have played a roll in the liquidity issues that became evident on Black Monday and pushed the US markets down 22.61% by the end of trading.
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The US markets had set up a top near 2,722 in early August 1987 after rising nearly 44% from the 1986 end of year closing price level of 1,895. The SPX rotated lower from this peak to set up a sideways price channel near 315 throughout the end of August and through most of September. On October 5, 1987, the SPX started a downward price move that attempted to test the lower support channel near 312. On October 12, one week later, the SPX broke below this support channel and closed at 298.10 (below the psychological 300 level). The very next weekend was October 17 & 18 – the weekend before Black Monday.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEje7Lv-L3-rIrLAausaRzfeUvP4bRROZcZPiX203Lqm-Ru-2BdULYN7pU8OLLMS_0EuIWTxbpgNnUlQZImhPgvNbG3NFzd46VgOLeQp3V4Qm8uxbRUEQk0GtK4siwf1MXEi_-Apzo3hfrk/s1600/TTT+10-20-2019+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="443" data-original-width="949" height="298" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEje7Lv-L3-rIrLAausaRzfeUvP4bRROZcZPiX203Lqm-Ru-2BdULYN7pU8OLLMS_0EuIWTxbpgNnUlQZImhPgvNbG3NFzd46VgOLeQp3V4Qm8uxbRUEQk0GtK4siwf1MXEi_-Apzo3hfrk/s640/TTT+10-20-2019+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Sunday night, October 18, in the US, the Asian markets opened for trading and a price sell-off began taking place in Hong Kong. Because the London markets has closed early on the 16th due to the storm, by the time they opened the UK markets began tanking almost immediately. Early in the day on Monday, October 19, the FTSE100 had collapsed over 136 points.
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Our researchers believe the declines in the US markets in early October 1987 set up a breakdown event that, once support was broken, prompted a collapse event where liquidity issues accelerated the price decline volatility – much like the “flash crash”. Global investors were unprepared for the scale and scope of the price decline event and panicked at the speed of the price collapse.
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In fact, at the height of the 1987 crash, systemic problems (mostly solvency and brokerage house operations) continued to threaten a much larger financial market collapse. Within days of Black Monday, it became evident that margin accounts and solvency issues related to operating capital, large scale risks and continued fear that the markets may continue to collapse presented a very real problem for the US and for the world. Have we re-entered another Black Monday type of setup across the global markets?
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6Y4W3MIvs5N6yZjoxwTOOwsb_yUkx-c3lAgor2ZVJkJTce02ZnC2I2azBDyMb7vcT5Pn9LnjaHADzpTAUYPJpk9HCd0GMLHSdCbeiap96_I9oM7O1LOzFJj7Nlo4Hu218lwCJlYhqPgI/s1600/TTT+10-20+-2019+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="541" data-original-width="682" height="506" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6Y4W3MIvs5N6yZjoxwTOOwsb_yUkx-c3lAgor2ZVJkJTce02ZnC2I2azBDyMb7vcT5Pn9LnjaHADzpTAUYPJpk9HCd0GMLHSdCbeiap96_I9oM7O1LOzFJj7Nlo4Hu218lwCJlYhqPgI/s640/TTT+10-20+-2019+3.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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As new economic data continues to suggest the global markets are economically contracting and stagnating, the US Federal Reserve has started buying assets again while the foreign central banks continue to push negative interest rates while attempting to spark any signs of real economic growth. The US stock market has continued to push higher – almost attempting new all-time highs again just recently. The US stock market is up nearly 68% over the past 3.5 years since Trump was elected and as of Friday, October 18, 2019, the US stock markets fell nearly 0.75% on economic fears.
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In Part II of this article, we’ll explore the potential of another Black Monday type of setup that may be playing out before our very eyes right now in the US stock market.
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As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life changing if handled properly.
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I urge you visit my <span style="color: blue;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">ETF Wealth Building Newsletter</a> </span>and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.<br />
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-20972502855300998682019-09-24T20:29:00.001-07:002019-09-24T20:29:49.434-07:00Is Silver About to Become the Super Hero of Precious Metals?If you’ve been following our research, you already know how accurately we’ve been nailing the precious metals price moves. We’ve been calling Gold and Silver accurately since early 2018 and continue to focus a good portion of our efforts in studying these incredible setups. Let’s have a little fun and start with two charts from near July 20, 2019, to help our followers understand what we’ve been expecting, but first, be sure to <span style="color: blue;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">opt-in to our free market research newsletter</a>.</span><br />
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This first Monthly Silver chart highlights what we believed would be the approximate wave structure of the silver price advance going forward. We did not attempt to accurately time these peaks of valleys, we simply used our Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs to allow price to tell us where these peaks may form. From those levels, we used our best “guess” to identify the trough bottoms.
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You can see a “Started Here” line near the bottom of this chart. This highlights where we created this chart and where the price was when we first posted it in our research (near $16.39). As of today, the price of Silver is near $18.75 and climbing. We’ve drawn in the missing data on this chart and highlighted the endpoint with a “NOW Here!” message. Once the price of silver breaks above that BLUE Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arc, it should rally up to $23 to $25 before finding new resistance.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhatb-ARplYyi1P6pEY5wqNq55r-ydhYWKFb38cMgn6-Wyv6xLpaJ3zmGPve_3W0EIqMxLbl13a0v-9bQ6G1SIVXfMk2UilLBFJzmdeMBjlChjrfPkfqkTceIVDGurSD4oWpYMmI3nkt-g/s1600/TTT+09-24-2019+1++.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="554" data-original-width="1004" height="352" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhatb-ARplYyi1P6pEY5wqNq55r-ydhYWKFb38cMgn6-Wyv6xLpaJ3zmGPve_3W0EIqMxLbl13a0v-9bQ6G1SIVXfMk2UilLBFJzmdeMBjlChjrfPkfqkTceIVDGurSD4oWpYMmI3nkt-g/s640/TTT+09-24-2019+1++.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<div style="text-align: center;">
<b>SILVER WEEKLY CHART</b></div>
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This next Silver Weekly chart was shared with our members near July 25, 2019. Pay very close attention to the arrows we drew on the chart at that time. Guess what the price of Silver actually did after this chart was shared with our readers? Yup, Silver shot up to $19.75 in early September, rotated back to the $17.50 level near the middle of September, and is starting a new rally towards the $23 to $25+ level right now. Does that look familiar to you on this chart (below)?
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhZrmrx_-1CmyTNvU-W4IlfDLeZH-6D38SbutG8oMDb2C5_-cQmyN3UHFijeUhu5giSh6jG4Dl6svLNztOmN4fbNqa7Psb1LRgrfy7UR_W9cZQ5Z_wkf8b0kZsJ2Bb990K795Q3UkP5crw/s1600/TTT+09-24-2019+2++-+Edited.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="614" data-original-width="1003" height="390" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhZrmrx_-1CmyTNvU-W4IlfDLeZH-6D38SbutG8oMDb2C5_-cQmyN3UHFijeUhu5giSh6jG4Dl6svLNztOmN4fbNqa7Psb1LRgrfy7UR_W9cZQ5Z_wkf8b0kZsJ2Bb990K795Q3UkP5crw/s640/TTT+09-24-2019+2++-+Edited.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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If this seems amazing to you because we were able to see these moves so accurately into the future and had such a keen insight into the future metals price rotation – don’t be alarmed. Our proprietary research tools are second to none. Our team of researchers have more than 54 years of experience in the markets and have studied almost all types of price theory, technical analysis, and other types of market price, technical, and fundamental analysis techniques. We put our skills to the test every day in order to help our clients find and execute the best trades. If you want to see <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/new-trading-tools/28937">more of our trading indicators and tools click here</a>.
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<div style="text-align: center;">
<b>WHAT NEXT?</b></div>
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What next? Well, the charts above actually show you what’s next. The new charts, below, highlight new charts and new triggers that we believe will drive the current rally in Silver even higher.
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Take notice of the HEAVY MAGENTA Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arc. The reason we highlight this MAGENTA level and the GREEN level in heavier line drawn is because these levels tend to become the major price inflection points within the arcs. In other words, these levels are where the price will either stall/reverse or breakout of a trend and possibly explode into a bigger price trend. The current Magenta line has just been crossed and the price is already exploding to the upside. If this continues as we expect, this Weekly Custom Metals Index could rally another 25% higher – which would put Gold well above $1800 per ounce and Silver well above $24 per ounce.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3-yDP23Vxi4pC7VLBU0Y5RtiGmYFZofiTSPbhiAgQDU2rXpOh8yKsKCTlbDooFHHw-bYUQvPZhpH4ACPANcYrNNmNhwfVhqnHbB9NH1ssfbe7VbBYVqQKUvjqQpxguT5g1eVrzQS0aGY/s1600/TTT+09-24-2019+3+.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="571" data-original-width="1003" height="364" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3-yDP23Vxi4pC7VLBU0Y5RtiGmYFZofiTSPbhiAgQDU2rXpOh8yKsKCTlbDooFHHw-bYUQvPZhpH4ACPANcYrNNmNhwfVhqnHbB9NH1ssfbe7VbBYVqQKUvjqQpxguT5g1eVrzQS0aGY/s640/TTT+09-24-2019+3+.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<div style="text-align: center;">
<b>SILVER DAILY CHART</b></div>
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This last Silver Daily chart is our Silver Cycle chart. It shows that we expect Silver to reach levels above $23 to $25 before early November 2019. That means Silver could rally 20~25% from current levels within the next 30+ days to reach our current upside targets. Are you ready?
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijyqoaeRu6BR2v6VP3xRagoYBpqxNRpsBNEtJKiaLX10S99j2JP9vJQn_vfxqztY_rGrQ7aCgwqMBddeKkGaQkQdV6hledmqZBJTE5qe2ppfwfG1gjlfVHbdJWbzsFsvUEdchgIVTPHhk/s1600/TTT+09-24-2019+4+-+Edited.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="566" data-original-width="1000" height="362" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijyqoaeRu6BR2v6VP3xRagoYBpqxNRpsBNEtJKiaLX10S99j2JP9vJQn_vfxqztY_rGrQ7aCgwqMBddeKkGaQkQdV6hledmqZBJTE5qe2ppfwfG1gjlfVHbdJWbzsFsvUEdchgIVTPHhk/s640/TTT+09-24-2019+4+-+Edited.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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If you’ve missed any of our past analysis, please take a minute to visit our site to learn how our team of skilled researchers can help you find and execute better trades. This move in the metals markets is going to be an incredible opportunity. We’ve been alerting our members of this opportunity for months. If you are not prepared for this move and/or want to learn how we can help you, please review our trade signal <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">Wealth Building Newsletter</a> today.
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<br />
Chris Vermeulen<br />
<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">The Technical Traders</a><br />
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NOTICE : Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation, or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research. It is provided for educational purposes only. Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed. Visit our website (<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">The Technical Traders</a>) to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-82438902440249281012019-05-03T06:19:00.001-07:002019-05-03T06:19:20.387-07:00How Close are the Markets from Topping?Now that most of the U.S. Major Indexes have breached new all time price highs, which we called over 5+ months ago, and many traders are starting to become concerned about how and where the markets may find resistance or begin to top, we are going to try to paint a very clear picture of the upside potential for the markets and why we believe volatility and price rotation may become a very big concern over the next few months. Our objective is to try to help you stay informed of pending market rotation and to alert you that we may be nearing a period within the US markets where increased volatility is very likely.
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Longer term, many years into the future, <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/FreeMarketResearch"><span style="color: blue;">our predictive modeling systems</span></a> are suggesting this upside price swing is far from over. Our models suggest that price rotation will become a major factor over the next 12 to 15+ months – headed into the U.S. Presidential election cycle of November 2020. Our models are suggesting that the second half of this year could present an incredible opportunity for skilled investors as price volatility/rotation provide bigger price swings. Additionally, our models suggest that early 2020 will provide even more opportunity for skilled traders who are able to understand the true price structure of the markets. Get ready, thing are about to get really interesting and if you are not following our research or a member of our services, you might want to think about joining soon.
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We are focusing this research post on the NQ, ES and YM futures charts (Daily). We will include a longer term YM chart near the end to highlight longer-term expectations. Let’s start with the NQ Daily chart.
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The NQ Daily chart, below, highlights our ongoing research, shows the 2018 deep price rotational low and the incredible rally to new all time highs recently. The most important aspect of this chart is the “Upside Target Zone” near the $8040 level and the fact that any rally to near these levels would represent an extended upside price rally near the upper range of the YELLOW price channel lines. We believe any immediate price rotation may end near the $7500 level (between the two Fibonacci Target levels near $7400 & $7600) and could represent a pretty big increase in price volatility.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2WQkYdPaY5FfsCpR1gbyBJAfqYMe5EWMTVCpGUDEuEz5LdL0bBv1xsYAbcPYqZhXy_Nb-wQkm58XVqqEREvZ8_Xon2gOW9APEOztHjw9oSOd9T3d88XTsC-6UPAVE9XWXhfE_Tbm0YdQ/s1600/TTT+04-30-2019+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="383" data-original-width="695" height="352" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2WQkYdPaY5FfsCpR1gbyBJAfqYMe5EWMTVCpGUDEuEz5LdL0bBv1xsYAbcPYqZhXy_Nb-wQkm58XVqqEREvZ8_Xon2gOW9APEOztHjw9oSOd9T3d88XTsC-6UPAVE9XWXhfE_Tbm0YdQ/s640/TTT+04-30-2019+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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This ES Daily chart highlights the different in capabilities between the NQ and the ES. While the NQ is already pushing into fairly stronger new price highs, the ES is struggling to get above the Sept/Oct 2018 highs and this is because very strong resistance is found between $2,872 and $2,928. It is very likely that the price volatility will increase near these highs as price becomes more active in an attempt to break through this resistance. It is also very likely that a downside price rotation may happen where price attempts to retest the $2,835 level (or lower) before finally pushing into a bigger upside price trend. The Upside Target Zone highs are just below $3,000. Therefore, we believe any move above $2,960 could represent an exhaustion top type of price formation.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGBEsD43fcCsAnhRfdVJwMA6XEhzmNRfbzcxyBwTacn5E05rDlQ9SvTkVlv164MH24nwx8g0tyW5pegbhH8Ug_YoKTYhXTxK3BDISLQT5axWzmRCa2Q9mSf4ZRdYdHWAtvcJ26DSvze0A/s1600/TTT+04-30-2019+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="388" data-original-width="700" height="354" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGBEsD43fcCsAnhRfdVJwMA6XEhzmNRfbzcxyBwTacn5E05rDlQ9SvTkVlv164MH24nwx8g0tyW5pegbhH8Ug_YoKTYhXTxK3BDISLQT5axWzmRCa2Q9mSf4ZRdYdHWAtvcJ26DSvze0A/s640/TTT+04-30-2019+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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This YM chart is set up very similarly to the ES chart. Historical price highs are acting as a very strong price ceiling. While the NQ is already pushing into fairly stronger new price highs, the YM continues to struggle to get above the Sept/Oct 2018 highs and this is because very strong resistance is found between 25,750 and 27,000. Please take notice of the very narrow resistance channel (BOX) on this chart that highlights where we believe true price support/resistance is located. We believe it is likely that a downside price rotation may happen where price attempts to retest the $26,000 level (or lower) before finally pushing into a bigger upside price trend.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhzBJQI0rvYFnPL-7KlylVE6RGdRyXJb2X2WSKTn6XYYKJSUZHRGut5qzndvM0CXie7x6LpnbT5fp5sdC1CGWqcUG4rR2AMDoEI6ptBpxsMmuEgLP_u01qj_om3XHJkG4EN4BCWFk1D1rs/s1600/TTT+04-30-2019+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="387" data-original-width="701" height="352" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhzBJQI0rvYFnPL-7KlylVE6RGdRyXJb2X2WSKTn6XYYKJSUZHRGut5qzndvM0CXie7x6LpnbT5fp5sdC1CGWqcUG4rR2AMDoEI6ptBpxsMmuEgLP_u01qj_om3XHJkG4EN4BCWFk1D1rs/s640/TTT+04-30-2019+3.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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As you can tell from our recent posts and this research, we believe price volatility is about to skyrocket higher as price rotates downward. Our predictive modeling systems are suggesting that we are nearing the end of this current upside move where a downward price move will establish a new price base and allow price to, eventually, push much higher – well above current all-time high levels.
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We’ve issued research posts regarding Presidential election cycles and how, generally, stock market prices decline 6 to 24 months before any US Presidential election. We believe this pattern will continue this year and we are warning our followers to be prepared at this stage of the game. No, it will not be a massive market crash like 2008-09. It will be a downside price rotation that will present incredible opportunities for skilled traders. If you want more of our specialized insight and analysis, then <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">please visit The Technical Traders</span></a> to learn how we help our members find success.
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Lastly, we’ve included this Weekly YM chart to show you just how volatile the markets are right now. Pay very close attention to the Fibonacci Target Levels that are being drawn on this chart. The downside target levels range from $16,000 to $21,060. The upside target levels range from $30,000 to $32,435. Top to bottom, The Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting a total volatility range of over $16,000 for the YM Weekly chart and this usually suggests we are about to enter a period of bigger price rotation and much higher price volatility.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaZ0hVcSr2JgQ-brfIGn-8XuyzjwI5aF8uDiVHXiOvqYzyIWgTQ2BcWxtd9fxLyLTKzrFsjVbTtG5DiWuxugkxBkwRqcOAtBlJRQ-os7iIfImHV7ymxZ7wVy94nBUxdSuufRtbEliPoPc/s1600/TTT+04-30-2019+4.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="389" data-original-width="699" height="356" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaZ0hVcSr2JgQ-brfIGn-8XuyzjwI5aF8uDiVHXiOvqYzyIWgTQ2BcWxtd9fxLyLTKzrFsjVbTtG5DiWuxugkxBkwRqcOAtBlJRQ-os7iIfImHV7ymxZ7wVy94nBUxdSuufRtbEliPoPc/s640/TTT+04-30-2019+4.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Right now, we suggest that you review some of our most recent posts to see how we’ve been calling these market moves, <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/FreeMarketResearch"><span style="color: blue;">visit The Technical Traders Free Research</span></a>. It is important for all of our followers to understand the risks of being complacent right now. The markets are about to enter a period of about 24+ months where incredible opportunities will become evident for skilled traders. If you know what is going to happen, you can find opportunities everywhere. If not, you are going to be on the wrong side of some very big moves.
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Chris Vermeulen</span></a><br />
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-74739669866245638822019-04-09T14:23:00.002-07:002019-04-09T14:23:25.149-07:00Waiting for the Russell 2000 to Confirm the Next Big MoveWhile we have recently suggested the US stock market is poised for further upside price activity with a moderately strong upside price “bias”, our researchers continue to believe the U.S. stock markets will not break out to the upside until the Russell 2000 breaks the current price channel, Bull Flag, formation. Even though the U.S. stock markets open with a gap higher this week, skilled traders must pay attention to how the Mid-Caps and the Russell 2000 are moving throughout this move.
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As we continue to advise our clients that the upside pricing cycle in the U.S. stock market is being underestimated, see this research post: we also believe that increased volatility and price rotation will continue to drive larger rotations in price before the final breakout upside move takes place. We want to continue to warn traders that we still don’t have any confirmed upside breakout with price continuing to stay within this price channel in the Russell 2000. Eventually, when and if the price does breakout to the upside, we will have a very clear indication that continued higher prices and a larger upside move is happening. Until then, we need to stay cautious about the types and levels of rotation that continue within the markets.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh9w30Od8awHw68ZO-nNuePnB154zAhe4IRpcirEL8ZR8IhE_iAbTm7W3msNHVyUcV2_sLd9jzPRzEhFrmiCgS4lonUh8Z9gCp9GkL32fS34mTHZ-nkQheebxNYkmyGCF5hQ2BD2A3TEq0/s1600/TTT+04-02-2019+Russell+2000+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="384" data-original-width="694" height="354" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh9w30Od8awHw68ZO-nNuePnB154zAhe4IRpcirEL8ZR8IhE_iAbTm7W3msNHVyUcV2_sLd9jzPRzEhFrmiCgS4lonUh8Z9gCp9GkL32fS34mTHZ-nkQheebxNYkmyGCF5hQ2BD2A3TEq0/s640/TTT+04-02-2019+Russell+2000+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Recently, volatility has started to increase as can be seen in this VIX chart. If the Russell 2000 is not able to break this trend channel with this current upside price move, then we fully expect continued price rotation in the U.S. stock markets and another increase in the VIX as this rotation takes place. The NQ recently rotated downward by nearly 4% while historical volatility continues to narrow. When volatility diminishes in extended price trends, we’ve learned to expect aggressive price rotation can become more of a concern. We expect the VIX to spike above 16~18 on moderate volatility as we get closer to the cycle inflection date near June/July 2019.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjS3BLdapwO3Z-C24KLZ3BG9tZnaEfHW5s_ib8KCA-NPdJ2PaB-pu1TKXH90hTXQICGtpAIcvm-X5yXh7I_J_plUwv9QFE8D0ntJCjT_aV3oXCBNWvGulpaaueF2tIyYKxkYfJ9Y_1cliI/s1600/TTT+04-02-2019+Russell+2000+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="460" data-original-width="690" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjS3BLdapwO3Z-C24KLZ3BG9tZnaEfHW5s_ib8KCA-NPdJ2PaB-pu1TKXH90hTXQICGtpAIcvm-X5yXh7I_J_plUwv9QFE8D0ntJCjT_aV3oXCBNWvGulpaaueF2tIyYKxkYfJ9Y_1cliI/s640/TTT+04-02-2019+Russell+2000+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/waiting-for-the-russell-2000-to-confirm-the-next-big-move/"><span style="color: blue;">Volatility Index – VIX chart by TradingView</span></a></b></div>
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Overall, our researchers believe the upside price bias in the U.S. stock market will continue for another 30+ days as our research and predictions regarding precious metals and the longer term equities price cycles continue to play out. Skilled traders need to be aware that this upside price bias may include larger price rotation and volatility as we get closer to the May/June/July 2019 cycle inflection points. Stay aware of the risks as 4~6%+ price rotations should be expected over the next 30+ days throughout this upside price bias.
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Do you want to find a team of dedicated researchers and traders that can help you find and execute better trades in 2019 and beyond? Please <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/waiting-for-the-russell-2000-to-confirm-the-next-big-move/"><span style="color: blue;">visit The Technical Traders</span></a> to learn how we can help you prepare for the big moves in the global markets and find better opportunities for greater success in the future. Our team of researchers and traders continue to scan the markets for new trades and unique opportunities.
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/waiting-for-the-russell-2000-to-confirm-the-next-big-move/"><span style="color: blue;">Chris Vermeulen</span></a><br />
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-55400054036450133532019-01-14T12:04:00.000-08:002019-01-14T12:04:18.354-08:00How To Consistently Make Money Day/Swing TradingThis has been the best week in a long time for intraday trades. The last 4 days the SP500 gave us 8 trades and all 8 turned into winners. Each days turning generating between $300 a $1250 per ES mini contract, although these can be traded using the SPY or 3X index ETFs.
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Subscribers who day trade are taking this pre-market analysis and setups and making a weeks wage within 1 – 3 hours in the morning before lunch.
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What makes these trade triggers is that they are the BROAD market SP500 so if you day trade other stocks knowing the short term market direction each morning add so much power to your other day trades for timing entries and exits.
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This chart focuses on today’s spike higher and gap lower. both these played out once again and are based strictly on technical analysis and statistical analysis.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM8SHGPoLOZKAuGmepe7igMt2X683VkmHSpWEBgvjK5QejwEIftdnKzYhyphenhyphenXEo1ootaQpI8nJj_A94lIuID5fvrAo5KjlAVZlfYn6cEpCDp68h4D0y3RPs0bX1FXHW313HsEnODc5u62KU/s1600/TTT+01-11-2019+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="380" data-original-width="579" height="420" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM8SHGPoLOZKAuGmepe7igMt2X683VkmHSpWEBgvjK5QejwEIftdnKzYhyphenhyphenXEo1ootaQpI8nJj_A94lIuID5fvrAo5KjlAVZlfYn6cEpCDp68h4D0y3RPs0bX1FXHW313HsEnODc5u62KU/s640/TTT+01-11-2019+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_1_22" target="_blank"><img alt="Stock & ETF Trading Signals" height="60" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/media/banners/468-60.gif" style="border: 0px;" width="486" /></a>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-35365462199240081212019-01-12T16:09:00.000-08:002019-01-12T16:10:54.509-08:00Simple Day Trades - Gap Windows and Price Spikes<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">IMPORTANT NOTE:</span></a> Pre-market trades like these are posted in our morning update and video only. We don’t want to blanket all our longer term traders with day trades. So if you are an active trader be sure you read our morning update and watch the video with your morning coffee.
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The morning gap has filled and our spike targets are being reached as well. Keep in mind, these are short term trade setup which will be implemented into our member’s area in the near future that auto update and post for those of you who want to take advantage of early day trades and be done by 11 am most trading sessions. Once we have things implemented there will be a detailed PDF on how trading these along with a video.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg6K_Xt7vaFtfapbl71HM4IPw4_oAsKarsKaGVphEdI0Q0S6Eg8cdmfgu8Kc5GosDteSkbLUWNSRmzwkBOdgzWG6PkX0QVJe2_9Af243055C06_xR_YzRr9cgp1Ue-lj3wMr-EX17KgB_c/s1600/TTT+01-09-2019+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="505" data-original-width="811" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg6K_Xt7vaFtfapbl71HM4IPw4_oAsKarsKaGVphEdI0Q0S6Eg8cdmfgu8Kc5GosDteSkbLUWNSRmzwkBOdgzWG6PkX0QVJe2_9Af243055C06_xR_YzRr9cgp1Ue-lj3wMr-EX17KgB_c/s640/TTT+01-09-2019+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiX_12KRTNDKktTEoeKRWYi5s9hM7RD9k7Oja-6TZj7l580IEQ9k6cak5EwZsKJ5nK7X8X0Mx-5Cve68tXdN8h0BxNhUD5hDGsXnSB79qnb7-Ypmb4x8OnvhqEQKGmCIaZX5UqkJvs8HWA/s1600/TTT+01-09-2019+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="463" data-original-width="816" height="362" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiX_12KRTNDKktTEoeKRWYi5s9hM7RD9k7Oja-6TZj7l580IEQ9k6cak5EwZsKJ5nK7X8X0Mx-5Cve68tXdN8h0BxNhUD5hDGsXnSB79qnb7-Ypmb4x8OnvhqEQKGmCIaZX5UqkJvs8HWA/s640/TTT+01-09-2019+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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For you longer term traders we are also working on having our swing trade charts and signal post and update automatically in the member’s area as well. Each trading strategy, chart, and signals will run in a separate member’s area page and you will be able to follow and trade the strategies that fit your personality and trading style.
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This is going to take us 30 - 60+ days to get things fully set up and running and it’s going to add a lot of value and opportunities for you – <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Subscribe Now!</span></a><br />
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Chris Vermeulen</span></a><br />
Chief Investment Strategist
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-25962511182953675492019-01-01T14:32:00.000-08:002019-01-01T14:32:27.971-08:00Silver Starts a Breakout Move HigherWatch Silver, folks. This quiet shiny metal is starting a move that could be very foretelling of global market concerns and risks. Early on December 26, 2018, Silver broke through recent resistance, to the upside, with a relatively large 2.8%+ upside move. Why is this so important to traders? Because Silver is the “sleeper metal” that is typically the last to react to global economic concerns. Once Silver starts to move to the upside with a renewed bullish trend, we believe this move would indicate that bigger players are starting to accumulate Silver as a safe haven for future economic concerns/crisis events.
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This Daily chart of Silver shows the December 26 upside breakout move. We can clearly see the breakout above $15.00 and the historical resistance just below $15.00. This move is extremely important in the context of the total risk play that has recently played out through the past two months. Take a look as how quiet the Silver market has been over the past few months. Take a look at how Silver reacted only moderately to the recent market selloff and Fed statements. There was no real “fear” exhibited in the metals markets or in Silver over the past 60+ days. Yet, today, there is some real fear that is playing out in the price of Silver.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh27jc6xCtLN1NFoYvOIbegu0c93tkUiOjDsAuaTjJOEREPsR1C93qTu-d26_SjxZjSCFnrk1w-2G7wsA55l-FfUg9br7O05lihV6AF4kapoxwzoSHr_nImAhsSXWgnlyJ6ibBEL1v-mnA/s1600/TTT+12-31-2018++1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="438" data-original-width="695" height="402" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh27jc6xCtLN1NFoYvOIbegu0c93tkUiOjDsAuaTjJOEREPsR1C93qTu-d26_SjxZjSCFnrk1w-2G7wsA55l-FfUg9br7O05lihV6AF4kapoxwzoSHr_nImAhsSXWgnlyJ6ibBEL1v-mnA/s640/TTT+12-31-2018++1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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This next Weekly Silver chart helps us to understand the total scope of this move and what we could expect to see as an immediate upside price target. Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price modeling system is suggesting that $16.00 is an immediate upside price target and is showing us the current trend is bullish and that price volatility is increasing. Overall, we could see a move well above $17.00 on an extended run in the metals.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEisd7z2g4FHc_JtxcbsFs3CzVqq-zMC_qcjf6MwuBfIsF1CnXciIVTeIrtk1pGrlZf8v5Q7Ice_USgi4WkSbsq3nltVfeoEEAKDtCZQb8VTlQqBWEQlUHSQhjtayDvLmNgvajHmb4QYVLM/s1600/TTT+12-31-2018+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="437" data-original-width="694" height="402" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEisd7z2g4FHc_JtxcbsFs3CzVqq-zMC_qcjf6MwuBfIsF1CnXciIVTeIrtk1pGrlZf8v5Q7Ice_USgi4WkSbsq3nltVfeoEEAKDtCZQb8VTlQqBWEQlUHSQhjtayDvLmNgvajHmb4QYVLM/s640/TTT+12-31-2018+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Watch how this “sleeper metal” plays out over the next few weeks and months. This upside breakout is very important to investors for the simple reason that it indicates a renewed level of “fear” is entering the markets and we could be starting a very big upside move in the metals markets again. The last time Silver entered a massive bullish phase it shot up over 400%. If a similar move happens again in the near future, Silver could reach a price level near $60-65 per ounce.
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Want to know how to position your investments to take advantage of these types of moves and learn how to capture greater opportunities in the markets? 2019 is setting up to be an incredible year for traders with the skills and insight to find and execute these types of trades. We have already been positioning our members for this move and we believe 2019 will provide incredible opportunities for all skilled traders. Take a minute to <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">visit The Technical Traders</span></a> to learn how we can help you in 2019 and join our other members in finding greater success.
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-31186768403650208682018-11-21T15:38:00.000-08:002018-11-21T15:38:16.607-08:00Will Crude Oil Find Support Near $60 DollarsOur research team warned of <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/will-oil-find-support-near-60/"><span style="color: blue;">this move</span></a> in crude oil back on October 7, 2018. At that time, we warned that oil may follow a historical price pattern, moving dramatically lower and that lows near $65 may become the ultimate bottom for that move. Here we are with a price below that level and many are asking “where will it go from here?”.
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We believe the support near $65, although clearly broken, may eventually become resistance for a future upside price move. <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system</span></a> is suggesting a new target near $52.00 - $53.00 and we believe this downside move in crude oil is far from over at this point.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgxonfrGb01FKBKoF_95nT1TEWrKN3BlXgyUFaqTqLIISas-hp386SKkSkYSMj9bREUOqgoz200p__KvDnzjNzyF7NoHTjhQ9ds5ouYrikYyBPpVAAv0iH-hWhFp21aLEOBWD6wY39qHo/s1600/TTT+11-12-2018+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="444" data-original-width="700" height="404" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgxonfrGb01FKBKoF_95nT1TEWrKN3BlXgyUFaqTqLIISas-hp386SKkSkYSMj9bREUOqgoz200p__KvDnzjNzyF7NoHTjhQ9ds5ouYrikYyBPpVAAv0iH-hWhFp21aLEOBWD6wY39qHo/s640/TTT+11-12-2018+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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The current global climate for oil is that suppliers are pumping more and more oil into the market at a time when, historically, prices should continue to decline. One of our research tools includes the ability to identify overall bias models for each week, month or quarter. Historically, crude oil is dramatically weaker in the month of November and relatively flat for the month of December.
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Analysis for the month of November = 11<br />
* Total Monthly Sum : -44.52000000000001 across 36 bars
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Analysis for the month of December = 12<br />
* Total Monthly Sum : -0.699999999999922 across 36 bars
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We believe the price of oil will continue to drift lower to target the $52.00 - $53.00 Fibonacci support level before attempting to find any real price support. This equates to an addition -6 to -8% price decline for skilled traders. We will alert you with a new research post as this downward price move continues or new research becomes available.
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We have been calling these types of market moves all year and recently called the top in the U.S. equity markets nearly 40 days before it happened. Want to know what we think is going to happen for the rest of 2018 and into early 2019? <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/FreeMarketResearch"><span style="color: blue;">Visit the Technical Traders Free Research</span></a> to read all of our public research posts. Isn’t it time you invested in a team of researchers and tools to assist you in finding greater trading success?
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Chris Vermeulen</span></a><br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-6964910335733233432018-09-20T10:58:00.000-07:002018-09-20T10:58:02.397-07:00How Bitcoin Will Make You Big Money AgainIf you are a Bitcoin fan or looking for the next opportunity for a Bitcoin rally, you may not have long to wait before a price breakout takes place. Our research team at <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">The Technical Traders</span></a> believes a price breakout may occur before the end of 2018 – the only question is will it be a breakout rally or a breakdown crash before the next mega rally?
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Cryptos and, in particular, Bitcoin has increased in popularity and adoption over the past 24 months across the globe. Recently, Citigroup has announced new technology making Crypto transactions more secure and reducing the risk of such transactions. Additionally, Circle recently announced a US Dollar based Crypto currency that is backed by Goldman-Sachs. News from Europe is that the EU has been urged to adopt common Crypto Currency rules that will fuel more attention and enterprise on developing suitable Crypto solutions for the European markets.
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All of this plays into our research that a breakout/breakdown is inevitable and it is just a matter of time before this coiling price consolidation “apexes” and expands.
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This chart shows massive breakdown washout below $6000 taking it back to prices before crypto became popular in early 2017.
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIfkHRryLcttSxBuE4K9dXLjxkyH1BpnSlWcCO9I8E6opnnbD5LSdGWdlulbcNrsq0yBrR8WZF9G3l7QPoR2XXpP4QUD1TGAeX28O8naje6st-43tnD8-X2N_8TB9BXmUFj9sGZ9wKRnjK/s1600/TTT+09-11-2018+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="509" data-original-width="854" height="379" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIfkHRryLcttSxBuE4K9dXLjxkyH1BpnSlWcCO9I8E6opnnbD5LSdGWdlulbcNrsq0yBrR8WZF9G3l7QPoR2XXpP4QUD1TGAeX28O8naje6st-43tnD8-X2N_8TB9BXmUFj9sGZ9wKRnjK/s640/TTT+09-11-2018+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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This next chart below shows our cycle analysis and how much bitcoin moved from our cycle bottoms to tops. We are now at NEARING a critical juncture of a $6000 breakdown which is clearly a support level, and a potential major cycle bottom or continuation down cycle. Huge money can be made from this extreme volatility that is about to unfold and savvy technical traders can see the profit potential unfolding.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1XUJsenxsujOFpKwGWgVgtRW51QN9-gRWsR_IL-F5RdMnK8dCU1ZnlimZMvvXtNofRJn7otwG4RVF-IJHvca6I5lR38XzohFNzKeYInLuIOALlglQhDAgcFxYjK7zN6wXXtFhbmWxvujv/s1600/TTT+09-11-2018+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="506" data-original-width="850" height="380" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1XUJsenxsujOFpKwGWgVgtRW51QN9-gRWsR_IL-F5RdMnK8dCU1ZnlimZMvvXtNofRJn7otwG4RVF-IJHvca6I5lR38XzohFNzKeYInLuIOALlglQhDAgcFxYjK7zN6wXXtFhbmWxvujv/s640/TTT+09-11-2018+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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We urge all traders to keep Cryptos in focus over the next few weeks and months. Our research team shares <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_5_3_18">our proprietary analysis and research</a> with our paid members regarding the Crypto currency trends and trades.
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If you want to learn what we believe will be the next big move in the Crypto markets, then <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">visit The Technical Traders</span></a> to learn more. Our proprietary modeling systems are clearly showing us what we should expect over the next few weeks and months. As a member, you will have access to this research and benefit from <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/FreeMarketResearch">our Daily Research Videos</a>.
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Chris Vermeulen</span></a><br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-22142278807934454972018-08-29T12:18:00.003-07:002018-08-29T12:18:45.752-07:00Is Gold on the Verge of a Bottom - See for YourselfThe recent downward price swing in Gold has kept Goldbugs frothing at what they believe is a very unusual and unexplained price function in the face of so much uncertainty throughout the globe. With Turkey, Russia, China and many others experiencing massive economic and currency crisis events, Gold has actually been creeping lower as the U.S. Dollar strengthens. It is almost like a “Twilight Zone” episode for Gold Bulls.
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The setup for a gold rally has been in place for over a decade. Much like in 2006 through 2008, the current price and volatility of Gold is simply mundane. For the past two years, Gold has rotated between $1190 and $1360 – within a $180 range. Certainly, Gold traders were able to find some profits within this range, but no breakout trends have been established since early 2016 when the price of Gold changed from Bearish to Bullish and a 31% rally took place driving prices $328.80 higher from the lows.
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Our team of researchers, at <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">The Technical Traders</span></a>, believe something very interesting may be taking place in Gold right now – almost like a “Deja Vu” of the past. A double setup appears to have taken place recently and we believe the bottom may have already formed in Gold for now.
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In early 2016 through November 2016 where price rallied 31% then retraced nearly 75% to form the second leg higher. This deep retracement of price was indicative of a wide price rotation before another leg higher pushed back up to near the all time highs.
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From 2017 until now the Gold chart shows another 75% price retracement from recent highs once again. This second 75% retracement could be a massive bottom formation setting up in Gold and could be a huge “wash out” low price. We believe this unique retracement is indicative of a massive price breakout over the next year or so as the price of gold is forming what Stan Weinstein calls a Stage 1 Accumulation.
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHMKIk_Vp8xcTxIC4VQF771Zmwlo7I-gdH7_f99C4iXW0zeTkcUw3-C01wAU2LMwF15r7WJ393Y8O_f2jWr_RylVeCaVaXpbhk22E7nsXUTehoq62AFjPf6mnu-2r7puq7cjggyMhkZFg/s1600/TTT+08-21-2018+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="541" data-original-width="864" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHMKIk_Vp8xcTxIC4VQF771Zmwlo7I-gdH7_f99C4iXW0zeTkcUw3-C01wAU2LMwF15r7WJ393Y8O_f2jWr_RylVeCaVaXpbhk22E7nsXUTehoq62AFjPf6mnu-2r7puq7cjggyMhkZFg/s640/TTT+08-21-2018+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Now, let’s zoom in and take a look at the weekly chart and our Adaptive Dynamic Learning model, <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_5_3_18"><span style="color: blue;">the predictive analysis</span></a> suggests that Gold prices should begin to bottom within the next week or two and begin to climb much higher over the next 3 to 10+ weeks.
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This pattern consists of 12 unique instances of data and suggests that the future upswing will start rather mild for the first 2 weeks, then begin to accelerate as time progresses. It appears we have a strong potential to see prices above $1400 within the next 5 - 8 weeks or so and you look at the previous chart above, what is the $1400 level? You got it! Resistance, and if price breaks out above $1400 a new bull market would be triggered!
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCaumbH3ixZUxAXbMeYsP4QVo373uWRjcxXQgqtVwEEEnRX4sgRGmxuV3UkVF6D-3gWcHDABDV0Gfyj86Xo0e0TQIjZwBaH3ZcN_gdcxyXV29M5MMPIAp2r0QrV2OdMtzvyOZFpc7qS1c/s1600/TTT+08-21-2018+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="531" data-original-width="879" height="386" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCaumbH3ixZUxAXbMeYsP4QVo373uWRjcxXQgqtVwEEEnRX4sgRGmxuV3UkVF6D-3gWcHDABDV0Gfyj86Xo0e0TQIjZwBaH3ZcN_gdcxyXV29M5MMPIAp2r0QrV2OdMtzvyOZFpc7qS1c/s640/TTT+08-21-2018+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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As many of you are aware, Gold is often a move to safety when the global economy begins to show signs of chaos or weakness. We believe the move in the U.S. Dollar will stall and possibly correct as this move takes place. If Gold were to rally while the U.S. Dollar continued to strengthen, you can clearly assume that a flight to safety is taking place and it includes a massive capital migration toward U.S. equities and GOLD. If the rally in gold is seen while the U.S. Dollar weakens or stalls, then we are seeing a move to safety while the currency markets address regional and global currency market issues.
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Either way, we expect Gold to begin a new rally higher off of this 75% retracement level to complete the Pennant formation that is currently set up for a Wave 5 upside price expansion. Some of this technical analysis may be over your head as it can be confusing, but you should get the gist of things which is that precious metals should find a bottom and there is the potential that a massive bull market could be on the horizon if price rallies quickly. Be prepared for this move because the Gold shorts will likely be forced to cover their positions within the next few weeks as this move begins to accelerate higher.
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Visit The Technical Traders</span></a> to learn how we can help you find these types of swings in the major markets. We alert our clients well in advance of these swings and deliver daily video content to all of our members before the market opens each day. Our objective is to make you a better trader and to help you find successful setups to create greater success. Visit our website to learn how we can help you become a better trader today.
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<br />
Chris Vermeulen<br />
<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Technical Traders Ltd.</span></a><br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-12298308929377947432018-08-15T12:04:00.001-07:002018-08-15T12:04:22.500-07:00Is Solar Rising From the Ashes Again?Recently, the Solar Energy sector has popped up on our watch-list of potential sectors to pay attention to. Over the past few weeks, the Solar Energy sector has been under some pricing pressure and has retraced nearly 50% of the previous trend across the sector. We, the research team at <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Technical Traders Ltd.</span></a> understand the Trade War and uncertainty resulting from geopolitical tensions can sometimes create opportunities in the markets for all traders/investors. We just have to be smart enough to find them end execute them efficiently.
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Is Solar Energy the next big trend to hit in the Energy sector? What is the potential for these stocks to move 10%, 20% or even 30%+ higher? Let’s take a look.
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This first chart, a Weekly chart of First Solar (FSLR) presents us with an interesting price setup. After a dramatic price decline in May and June of 2018, the price decline abruptly halted near $52.00. In fact, this downside move ended almost as if prices “legged down” to the last known true support level. Historically, looking all the way back to the lows of 2012, this downside move represents just a little over a 38.2% retracement from the highs and coincides almost perfectly with a 50% retracement from the lows in 2017. These two numbers interest us because they show us that $53.50~55.00 is very likely a strong support level that is currently being tested.
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Simple Fibonacci expansion analysis tells us any upside potential could target $61.35 (+12.65%), 69.95 (+28.44%) & 76.20 (+39.99%). These levels don’t take into consideration the potential for new breakout highs above $82.50. If this were to happen, we could see a +50% or more price upside happen.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidbwftcWw8Ec32Hi2mPl5mI9iTKYj57BfZAOaasQUHjGDkyc_EI03lB-DmBE0TaaxlHzC4Xt9pTdz5G2Jh36G8_DqiObgTpDbjGijGz-9r-RKsuFyGEQZtSXMZuQfXYy6llyTICmYP-2Vy/s1600/TTT+08-14-2018+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="324" data-original-width="752" height="274" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidbwftcWw8Ec32Hi2mPl5mI9iTKYj57BfZAOaasQUHjGDkyc_EI03lB-DmBE0TaaxlHzC4Xt9pTdz5G2Jh36G8_DqiObgTpDbjGijGz-9r-RKsuFyGEQZtSXMZuQfXYy6llyTICmYP-2Vy/s640/TTT+08-14-2018+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Before we get too far ahead of ourselves, what would cause the Solar sector to begin a price advance at this stage in the economy? Renewed interest in the new technology of new infrastructure/government contracts? Replacing older technology with newer, higher performance, technology? Renewed interest from personal and corporate clients? What could cause this move?
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You may remember that we’ve been suggesting that capital, cash, is always attempting to find solid sources of growth and opportunity while avoiding risk and depreciation. We’ve been suggesting that the spare cash on the planet has been rushing into the US stock markets by the boatload to take advantage of the strong dollar and the strong US stock market values. Could it be time for that capital to shift away from the FANGs and other leaders and move back into opportunistic equities that are somewhat off the radar?
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Earnings for these companies for Q3 are set to be announced near October 28, 2018. With FSLR, the Q3 earnings have typically been fairly strong. One could attempt to assume Q3 2018 sales value may surprise the markets again and this could be a good time to consider the Solar Sector as an opportunity.
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Our next chart is a Weekly ETF chart of INVESCO SOLAR (TAN). This chart presents a similar picture as the previous chart – a relatively strong pullback from April~June of 2018. The price pullback ends near a 50% Fibonacci retracement level and coincides quite nicely with our Tesla Vibrational Price Arc. We’ve drawn an arrow on the chart that suggests where we believe prices could be headed as long at this $21.75 support level holds.
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Again, it does not take a genius to understand that any price advance from the $22.70 level to above $26.00 (or higher) would represent an almost +15% move. Any move above $28.00 from current levels would represent a +23.34% move. There is room for profits if our analysis is correct.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDKONkEZh2-Heh-Ns2QaVouCyN7yhkkdEPY9YEio28g5wnyahimOdkpjEjgfH0cFJkcGS3LcD11WIGvAgIOOPkr51QMmrXundwjTq7xMebSG6CIAsWuMCWBptyGeRvZ9tNsK5NaMhnCNZ2/s1600/TTT+08-14-2018+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="340" data-original-width="734" height="296" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDKONkEZh2-Heh-Ns2QaVouCyN7yhkkdEPY9YEio28g5wnyahimOdkpjEjgfH0cFJkcGS3LcD11WIGvAgIOOPkr51QMmrXundwjTq7xMebSG6CIAsWuMCWBptyGeRvZ9tNsK5NaMhnCNZ2/s640/TTT+08-14-2018+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Lastly, we want to highlight what might be the most interesting setup in the Solar sector so far – Canadian Solar Inc (CSIQ). This Monthly chart attempt to show our readers exactly what has been transpiring in the Solar Sector for the past 5+ years. After peaking in early 2014, Solar technology lost its sparkle with investors. Slowly, over time, prices waned and dropped while attempting to find support. Technically, we view that support as the lows established in 2016 (prior to and near the US Presidential elections).
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After that point it time, it is pretty clear to see that some renewed interest in the Solar Sector began to take place. Slowly, price advanced from the low as volume stayed somewhat muted. New rotational highs were established while the most recent low is still testing the 2016 lows. This tells us that the price trend, at least until we see a new breakdown low, is attempting to move higher.
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CSIQ is currently trading near $14.75 and has upside potential above $21.00 on a breakout move. We are not saying this is definitely going to happen, but we do believe the Solar sector is setting up for an upside move and we do believe the potential for a new rotational high price to be established is quite strong. This means, finding the proper entry point and understanding the downside risk of these trades is critical.
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Once CSIQ breaks our Red downward price sloping line, we would assume the price channel has been broken and we would expect the price to begin to rise dramatically.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrEvWUO-y5Y7HE77LIbdZGMMgrw__CcYH36UKW60lwAC_HfwnGgfqyOxumJS_88KdyJpbgsBFWfy6RApMudndxJGAA5xsL8Z_qd_ixskh3e3Ql05VcLB_BEorrcl7xivsCamhxbDHiHyfW/s1600/TTT+08-14-2018+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="326" data-original-width="732" height="284" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrEvWUO-y5Y7HE77LIbdZGMMgrw__CcYH36UKW60lwAC_HfwnGgfqyOxumJS_88KdyJpbgsBFWfy6RApMudndxJGAA5xsL8Z_qd_ixskh3e3Ql05VcLB_BEorrcl7xivsCamhxbDHiHyfW/s640/TTT+08-14-2018+3.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-9898911767438093322018-08-10T15:52:00.000-07:002018-08-10T15:52:36.981-07:00U.S. Markets Moving Higher Until November 2018 - Part I Our trading partners at <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">The Technical Traders Ltd.</span></a> have been laboring over the recent market moves attempting to identify if and when the market may be likely to turn lower or contract. They’ve been pouring over all types of various data from numerous sources and have concluded the following is the most likely outcome for when the US stock markets may find a reason to pause of contract.<br />
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As you read this research post, please allow us a brief introduction of the facts that supported our research.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZql0qGz03-fds5f7ZJ4Ppya1C4bJgCZh1pwFvVA-Peb8I-Oer5RGwWMc0w4-ux-rnJSrBtKkFUEKfOPfk1xu0Jt0AwRZQOgVIZs7AMASz8-X3_hV3BF7eX6C30WBohjvDW6TP_mfxkdg/s1600/TTT+08-09-2018+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="434" data-original-width="751" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZql0qGz03-fds5f7ZJ4Ppya1C4bJgCZh1pwFvVA-Peb8I-Oer5RGwWMc0w4-ux-rnJSrBtKkFUEKfOPfk1xu0Jt0AwRZQOgVIZs7AMASz8-X3_hV3BF7eX6C30WBohjvDW6TP_mfxkdg/s640/TTT+08-09-2018+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: blue; font-size: x-small;"> <a href="https://palisade-research.com/warren-buffet-indicator-signaling-market-crash/">Source: Palisade Research</a></span></div>
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First, our research team started this investigative work after watching the Buffet Indicator climb from the 2015-16 rotation levels to new highs and achieve some recent news events. This indicator, being one of Warren Buffett’s favorite tools for understanding market valuations in comparison to debt levels provides some interesting components for our team to study. Yet, we believed this indicator chart lacked something relating to the global markets and the use of the debt capital to spur future global economic activity.
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Therefore, our team went off in search of something that could help us rationalize these high Buffet Indicator levels in true relation to the global markets and in relation to the capital shift that we believe is currently taking place throughout the planet. The first component of our assumption about the global markets is that capital is rushing away from riskier markets and towards more stable markets. The second component of our assumption is that national debt obligations are being re-evaluated based on perceived risks and contagion issues throughout the globe. The last component of our assumption is that the new US President is shaking up quite a bit of the old constructs throughout the globe and that the processes and policies put in place by President Trump are creating a very dynamic global capital market environment at the moment.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEily23ItkX2fSkxGpieFz5gmcaRZk67cLrUsAD2yh0WotbksfrQoNbP8BQfMoJTKb-oT2zis9PU89W1ml3DLF7j2JxvGggj47AfhYEkKdEt_S67mGHM4mfOi73NyhlFAI5Gq5R2loDO9tw/s1600/TTT+08-09-2018+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="547" data-original-width="840" height="416" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEily23ItkX2fSkxGpieFz5gmcaRZk67cLrUsAD2yh0WotbksfrQoNbP8BQfMoJTKb-oT2zis9PU89W1ml3DLF7j2JxvGggj47AfhYEkKdEt_S67mGHM4mfOi73NyhlFAI5Gq5R2loDO9tw/s640/TTT+08-09-2018+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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When you consider these three components and their combined results on the global capital markets, we have to understand that there is a very strong possibility that the largest GDP producing countries on the planet, and their banking, institutional and investor classes, are all operating within some aspect of these three components. This means there is a potential for at least $7 to $15 Trillion (10~20% of total global GDP) US Dollars that are actively sourcing and seeking secure returns while avoiding risks and debt contagion. This is a massive capital shift that is taking place currently – likely the largest the planet has ever seen.
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As the Buffet Indicator is showing, the US stock market is nearing or passing all-time highs in valuation in relation to US debt levels. Yet, how does the Buffet Indicator correlate the global capital shift that is taking place and equate these dynamics into fair value. The US market, being the likely target of this massive capital shift, is a fair source for valuations comparisons, but we are experiencing a capital shift that has never before been seen at the levels we are currently experiencing. Sure, there have been shifts of capital before – but not at the $10 to 20 trillion USD level.
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If we compare the Buffet Indicator to this Fred Global Stock Market Capitalization to GDP chart, some interesting facts begin to take shape. First, the peaks in 1974, 1999, 2008 and 2018 on the Buffet Indicator are not as evident on this chart. The 1974 peak is relatively nonexistent. The 1999 peak is a much more muted (28%) peak than on the Buffet Indicator chart and the 2008 and 2018 peaks are relatively correlated to the Buffet Indicator chart. One should be asking the question, “why are the two most recent peaks more correlated than previous peaks on this global capitalization to GDP chart?”. Our answer to that question is that after the 1999~2000 US market peak, the globe entered into a much more cooperative economic phase with the EU, China, South America and many other nations operating as global peers vs. global competitors. It was after this time that the capital markets began to “sync” in some form to the central banks policies and the unification processes that were taking place throughout the globe.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_7ba1AkBFyVxkQ4vbl2iIWs_8Y41U5Tq6L1aNUwLb-g0wBFxIqarJm8Yx_-XrzToYxSNf-nMVNiM2N-8CF-osgOu8PYRcGt1aqErmqor_N2pNaIddE2c3u9wBe6VfHo0Ga3fHKOX8kLQ/s1600/TTT+08-09-2018+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="782" height="276" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_7ba1AkBFyVxkQ4vbl2iIWs_8Y41U5Tq6L1aNUwLb-g0wBFxIqarJm8Yx_-XrzToYxSNf-nMVNiM2N-8CF-osgOu8PYRcGt1aqErmqor_N2pNaIddE2c3u9wBe6VfHo0Ga3fHKOX8kLQ/s640/TTT+08-09-2018+3.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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We should, therefore, assume that any global market contagion or crisis will likely take place in some measured form throughout nearly all global markets when it happens. Additionally, as regional debt or capital market crisis events occur in certain nations, capital that was deployed in these nations or capital markets will likely rush to new, safer environments for periods of time. Capital is always hunting for the safest and most secure returns while attempting to avoid risk and devaluation.
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The central bank policies of the past two decades have allowed a massive increase in the available capital throughout the globe. Global GDP has risen from $33.57 Trillion in 2000 to $80.68 Trillion today – a whopping 140% increase in only 18 years. Historically, global GDP has risen by approximately these levels every 15~20 year for the past 50+ years. This is likely the result of the US moving away from the Gold standard and foreign nations following along with fiat currency central banks since after the 1960s-70s.
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This tells us that the peak in 2000 on this global capital market to GDP chart resulted in a moderately isolated capital market peak that was uniquely available within the US and major economies – not globally. The 2008 peak represented a more globally equal capital market peak. This means the majority of the global capital market experienced capital appreciation. The same thing is happening right now – the global markets are experiencing an overall capital market appreciation that is a result of the past 20+ years of central bank policies and economic recovery efforts.
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<b><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/part-ii-us-markets-higher-until-november-2018/"><span style="color: blue;">Stay Tuned for PART II Next with Charts and Trading Analysis!</span></a></b></div>
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-23248609978354370412018-05-28T05:58:00.000-07:002018-05-28T05:58:03.901-07:00Technical Analysis Confirms Support Level on the SPXThis week presented some interesting price rotation after an early upside breakout Sunday night. The Asian markets opened up Sunday night with the ES, NQ and YM nearly 1% higher this week. This upside breakout resulted in a clear upside trend channel breakout that our researchers believe will continue to prompt higher price legs overall. Our researchers, <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">at Technical Traders Ltd.</span></a>, have issued a number of research posts over the past few weeks showing our analysis and the upside potential in the markets that should take place over the next few weeks.
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We expected a broad market rally this week, yet it has not materialized as we expected this week. We consider this a stalled upside base for a new price leg higher. Take a look at this Daily SPY chart to illustrate what we believe the markets are likely to do over the next few weeks. There are two downside price channels that have recently been broken by price (RED & YELLOW lines). Additionally, there is clear price support just below $272.00 that was recently breached. These upside price channel breakouts present a very clear picture that price is attempting to push higher and breakout from these price channels.
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Current price rotation has tested and retested the price support level near $272.00 and we believe this recent “stalled price base” will launch a new upside price rally driving price well above the $280.00 level.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh9Ha2fLbwlL-8z0B2Sokyo0CsgBaZPmwVdct_JbAMxLZtQaSEmHecr1AuyLLhPUIYTbEUm5sl4kb4kuKHDJfyauLISY2YweUlBRp0sGG0cPMlXENUO8zhC_viQs0EZN7XA9kApwFIzKbU/s1600/TTT+2-25-2018+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="450" data-original-width="697" height="412" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh9Ha2fLbwlL-8z0B2Sokyo0CsgBaZPmwVdct_JbAMxLZtQaSEmHecr1AuyLLhPUIYTbEUm5sl4kb4kuKHDJfyauLISY2YweUlBRp0sGG0cPMlXENUO8zhC_viQs0EZN7XA9kApwFIzKbU/s640/TTT+2-25-2018+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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With the holiday weekend setting up in the U.S. and the early Summer trading levels setting up, it is not uncommon for broader market moves to execute after basing/staging has executed. This current upside price action has clearly breached previous resistance channels, so we continue to believe our earlier research is correct and the US majors will mount a broad range price advance in the near future.
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The VIX, on the other hand, appears poised to break lower – back to levels below $10 as the US major price advance executes. The VIX, as a measure of volatility that is quantified by historical price trend and volatility, should continue to fall if our price predictions are correct. If the US major markets continue to climb/rally, the VIX will likely fall to levels well below $10.00 and continue to establish a low volatility basing level – just as it did before the February 2018 price correction.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_B96qTcnqfXGqqRtr2kdjDKNfHg36bLCG76yMBJvSGzIMp4H5xe23TcyoIM6VKXa44uIXjCOxFEqGBctoLbEslU-xvexxQRXlS8d_caxHf3OnOSVHxlmjzeNiWImexvnurhnldlAkKHc/s1600/TTT+2-25-2018+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="453" data-original-width="702" height="412" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_B96qTcnqfXGqqRtr2kdjDKNfHg36bLCG76yMBJvSGzIMp4H5xe23TcyoIM6VKXa44uIXjCOxFEqGBctoLbEslU-xvexxQRXlS8d_caxHf3OnOSVHxlmjzeNiWImexvnurhnldlAkKHc/s640/TTT+2-25-2018+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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A holiday weekend, the start of lighter Summer trading and the recent upside breakout of these downward price channels leads us to believe the market will continue to push higher over time with the possibility of a massive upside “melt up” playing out over the next 2 - 6+ weeks. We believe this move will drive prices to new all time price highs for the US majors and will surprise many traders that believe the recent price rotation is a major market top formation.
<br />
<br />
Our <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">exclusive Wealth Building Newsletter </span></a>provides detailed market research, daily market video analysis, detailed trading signals and much more to assist you in developing better skills and greater success in your trading. One of our recent trade in natural gas using UGAZ, [<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/natural-gas-flashes-buy-signal-with-cycles-confirming/"><span style="color: blue;">check it out here</span></a>] is already up over 26% and we believe it will run another 25-50% higher from here! We provide incredible opportunities for our member’s success. We urge you to <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">visit The Technical Traders</span></a> to learn how we can assist you in finding new success.
<br />
<br />
Our 53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">stock and ETF trading alerts</span></a> are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Our newsletter</span></a>, <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_4_3_22"><span style="color: blue;">Technical Trading Mastery book</span></a>, and<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_5_3_18"> <span style="color: blue;">3 Hour Trading Video Course</span></a><span style="color: blue;"> </span>are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-31034758723406487752018-05-22T10:23:00.002-07:002018-05-22T10:23:35.262-07:00How to Predict the Maximum Profit on Each Trade - Free Webinar<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5a3GxqoZqTRhB__ttxN9-242B3lenZ3hXAive0X5puhQmIoxYpppU7oi0K80x1x1I4uwLI4VS8MC4gnS1YZTNC3XZC9kxuHcRsJ3dzAEP1mlr4KR2MtxVyD_vtjZihW-ZIHYUZ9sQFhc/s1600/John+Carter+2018.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="245" data-original-width="441" height="110" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5a3GxqoZqTRhB__ttxN9-242B3lenZ3hXAive0X5puhQmIoxYpppU7oi0K80x1x1I4uwLI4VS8MC4gnS1YZTNC3XZC9kxuHcRsJ3dzAEP1mlr4KR2MtxVyD_vtjZihW-ZIHYUZ9sQFhc/s200/John+Carter+2018.png" width="200" /></a></div>
Every trader discovers this cold hard truth. Your profit isn’t made when you get in a trade, but when you get out. In fact, we constantly receive questions from our readers about how to avoid leaving money on the table in trades.
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<br />
Sometimes people get out of a trade too early just to watch it take off and turn into a huge winner without them. Other times you watch your profits disappear because you hung onto your position too long. The key to winning trades is managing your position and timing your exit. Easier said than done, right?
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That’s why we reached out to our friend <a href="https://www.simplertrading.com/#a_aid=106"><span style="color: blue;">John Carter at Simpler Trading</span></a>. If you’re not familiar with John, he’s a 25 year trading veteran with a track record for spotting big moves and timing trades in the market for maximum profit. He’s also the author of the best selling book for traders, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0071775145/ref=as_li_tl?ie=UTF8&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeASIN=0071775145&linkCode=as2&tag=tucbaspla-20&linkId=eaf36e1a1a2ddcf35befc8c42534ff8b"><span style="color: blue;">Mastering the Trade</span></a>.<br />
<br />
John is putting on a <a href="https://goo.gl/6ceUfS"><span style="color: blue;">special free webinar</span></a> for our readers this Wednesday May 23rd to show us how we can know exactly when to exit a trade for maximum gains.
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<a href="https://goo.gl/6ceUfS"><span style="color: blue;"><b>Claim My Seat Now</b></span></a><br />
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John’s been working on something really special, and he’s sharing it with our readers. Plus, he’s going to explain in detail....<br />
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● How to Catch the Biggest Turning Points in Real Time<br />
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● Why ‘One Size Fits All’ Systems Can Burn Your Account<br />
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● How to Get in Earlier on Explosive Moves with Confidence<br />
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● The Simple Exit Rule that Can Generate ‘Easy Money’<br />
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● How to Rapidly Grow a Smaller Account Part Time<br />
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● How to Get Rid of Guesswork from Entries and Exits<br />
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● How to Finally Treat Your Trading like a Business<br />
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And a whole lot more....
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These strategies work whether you’re trading Options, Futures, or any other derivatives. The key is understanding when the market is telling you to get out. You’ll see exactly what I mean on the free webinar.
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<a href="https://goo.gl/6ceUfS"><span style="color: blue;"><b>Claim My Seat Now</b></span></a><br />
<br />
See you in the markets!<br />
Ray's Stock World<br />
<br />
P.S. This is going to be one of the most popular webinars we’ve ever had, so make sure you
register as early as possible to <a href="https://goo.gl/6ceUfS"><span style="color: blue;"><b>Secure Your Spot Right Here</b></span></a><br />
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US&adInstanceId=58cfd5ef-01bc-487d-85f8-ddb9fbf1f324"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-90187645126405995342018-05-15T05:31:00.001-07:002018-05-15T05:31:45.635-07:00Simple Chart Illustrates How Price Setup Shows a Top/Resistance ZoneOur research team here at <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">the Technical Traders</span></a> wanted to alert our followers to the incredible opportunities that continue to present themselves in the current market. While many people have been overly concerned about a market top and price rotation in the US majors, the Energy sector and many others have seen incredible price moves.
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Take a look at <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/congestion-basing-can-present-incredible-opportunities/"><span style="color: blue;">this XLE chart</span></a> as an example. Yes, we know that Oil has rallied from about $60 to closer to $70 recently, yet we want you to focus on the price pattern that setup this move in XLE. Specifically, we want you to focus on the Multi-Month Base pattern in price between early February and early April of 2018 as well as the upside breakout that followed.
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In <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">true technical analysis theory</span></a>, price tells us everything and indicators assist us in relating current price movement/action to historical price movement/action. This simple chart illustrates how price setup a top/resistance zone near $78 in early January 2018, broke lower in early February, then setup a multi-month price support base for nearly 60+ days. This price support base because an extended bottom formation and a “price support zone” by testing and retesting the critical $65~66 price level while establishing a series downward sloping high price peaks. When it finally broke free of this support zone, near mid-April, price skyrocketed higher (+17% or more).
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2O5uB8PFLTRoV7Hzu3puQBVnr9fUN-aoVOnaphMPd24oyjkkp4VFFjFziHBcCyTGI7DF-QfW26DPOvDORFWUPE36iuyp8nGwKsOQ72wcp5425PJklTnS13G0mHLHQW9yQiUAZvqcIEYQ/s1600/TTT+5-13-2018+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="526" data-original-width="850" height="396" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2O5uB8PFLTRoV7Hzu3puQBVnr9fUN-aoVOnaphMPd24oyjkkp4VFFjFziHBcCyTGI7DF-QfW26DPOvDORFWUPE36iuyp8nGwKsOQ72wcp5425PJklTnS13G0mHLHQW9yQiUAZvqcIEYQ/s640/TTT+5-13-2018+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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With the stock market showing all the signs that it is in the late stage of a bull market this is when traders need to start identifying the hot sectors or high probability continuation patterns. Why? because we have entered a stock pickers market. It’s simple really, it means all the stocks are not going to be rising together and if you put your money into the wrong sector you could lose money while the markets rise.
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So where is the next hot sector? We believe a very similar pattern is setting up in the IYT (Transportation Index) just like we saw on the first chart of the XLE. We feel an upside breakout move is likely to happen within the next two weeks.
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The setup of this price pattern is a bit broader and more volatile than the XLE Multi-Month Basing pattern – which means the IYT upside breakout could be more volatile and dramatic in form (possibly driving price +10% to 20% over an extended period).
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Additionally, the high price peaks are setting up in a similar format with lower high price peaks over the span of the base. Support near $182.50 to $185 is critical and we believe the eventual upside breakout will be an incredible opportunity for traders.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8HQI1t-7hfRKuQBOl5nWmcoSVcxe6pmbvRD-4JmP5zMmpeFQHdb-wrSMBtQBvi7qVro9dmb0X_0mzP18hGNfQEi9v2AFvFojIgDHODb_jDTbz1ResQrH0IrsHUMJ-45B3e9kzALsQh9U/s1600/TTT+5-13-2018+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="530" data-original-width="845" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8HQI1t-7hfRKuQBOl5nWmcoSVcxe6pmbvRD-4JmP5zMmpeFQHdb-wrSMBtQBvi7qVro9dmb0X_0mzP18hGNfQEi9v2AFvFojIgDHODb_jDTbz1ResQrH0IrsHUMJ-45B3e9kzALsQh9U/s640/TTT+5-13-2018+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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This breakout will coincide with much of our other analysis of the US major markets which we have been sharing recently.
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Our other <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/stock-indexes-stuck-under-resistance-and-what-to-expect-next/"><span style="color: blue;">recent trade alerts</span></a>, that are up well over 10% each are UGAZ, FAS, and TECL. These have been rocketing higher – as we predicted. On Friday we closed our TECL position which hit our resistance level and we locked in the 18.3% gains with our members. The single point of success for all of us is to manage our assets well in an attempt to achieve greater long-term success.
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If you have not seen or read much of our recent analysis, please <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">visit The Technical Traders</span></a> to learn more and review our work. Our exclusive members are already positioned for many moves like this in the markets and more continue to form each week.
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We urge you to consider <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">joining our Wealth Building Trading Newsletter</span></a> as a member to receive our incredible insight, proprietary research, and trade alerts to assist your own trading success. We have delivered insights and research to our members that have clearly informed them of where we believe the markets are headed for many months in advance. Imagine how powerful that kind of research could be for you?
<br />
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53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Our newsletter</span></a>, <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_4_3_22"><span style="color: blue;">Technical Trading Mastery book</span></a>, and <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_5_3_18"><span style="color: blue;">3 Hour Trading Video Course </span></a>are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Chris Vermeulen</span></a>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-19763303326482321462018-04-13T06:34:00.003-07:002018-04-17T15:29:32.151-07:00Free Webinar: Your Second Chance for the Marijuana Boom in 2018<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRsPyFgL9ttsb68tUuGW3AE_dndXKQO-I_9efW-r1IcopIV-m59IDcpqlCE3qY34pAxvVfwxRXS4JqQCGlwlLJnXRdcBPOjfg3o9jKzPGjfm01NyNoHUa_rRp7XudwAErGcypkuGE8Yb0/s1600/Marijuana+Stocks.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="369" data-original-width="570" height="128" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRsPyFgL9ttsb68tUuGW3AE_dndXKQO-I_9efW-r1IcopIV-m59IDcpqlCE3qY34pAxvVfwxRXS4JqQCGlwlLJnXRdcBPOjfg3o9jKzPGjfm01NyNoHUa_rRp7XudwAErGcypkuGE8Yb0/s200/Marijuana+Stocks.png" width="200" /></a></div>
Our trading partner legendary speculator Doug Casey invites you to take part in the <a href="https://pages.exct.caseyresearch.com/page.aspx?QS=5c591a8916642e735771dd1714083a1ecea971c5aabd7ee6a4006e02babccc27&source=Parrish1"><span style="color: blue;">FREE "Pot Stock Millionaire Webinar"</span></a>. This free Summit will guide us through how we can take advantage of the coming second marijuana boom.
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Doug is up $1 million dollars with just ONE tiny pot stock, a 1,900% gain. And now Doug and his team have found 5 new pot stocks that will brings us those same profits.
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<b>Space is limited so <a href="https://pages.exct.caseyresearch.com/page.aspx?QS=5c591a8916642e735771dd1714083a1ecea971c5aabd7ee6a4006e02babccc27&source=Parrish1"><span style="color: blue;">Reserve Your Seat Right Here, Right Now</span></a></b><br />
<br />
The Pot Stock Millionaire Summit with Doug Casey, Nick Giambruno and Justin Spittler takes place Thursday, April 26th at 8 p.m. Eastern Time. Since this is hosted on a private website you must pre register and details for access will be emailed to you.
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And the cost to you? Zero....It's all FREE!
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If you missed out on the first wave of marijuana investing don't miss your second chance to become a Pot Stock Millionaire in the Marijuana Bull Market of 2018. The 2018 boom is expected to be 8 times bigger than the first.
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During <a href="https://pages.exct.caseyresearch.com/page.aspx?QS=5c591a8916642e735771dd1714083a1ecea971c5aabd7ee6a4006e02babccc27&source=Parrish1"><span style="color: blue;">this free Webinar </span></a>we'll learn....<br />
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<li> How famed speculator Doug Casey became a marijuana millionaire with one penny pot stock</li>
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<li>Why the 2018 marijuana boom will be 8 times bigger than the first… when pot stocks averaged peak gains of 24,000%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The only two ways to play the marijuana bull market in 2018 for the chance to turn a few hundred dollars into a million or more</li>
</ul>
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<li>And 5 marijuana stocks that are set to return 500% each</li>
</ul>
And this is just a small sample of the exclusive information that Doug and the team will share during this event.<br />
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<div style="text-align: center;">
<b><a href="https://pages.exct.caseyresearch.com/page.aspx?QS=5c591a8916642e735771dd1714083a1ecea971c5aabd7ee6a4006e02babccc27&source=Parrish1"><span style="color: blue;">Here’s What You’ll Get When You Sign Up Today</span></a></b></div>
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<a href="https://pages.exct.caseyresearch.com/page.aspx?QS=5c591a8916642e735771dd1714083a1ecea971c5aabd7ee6a4006e02babccc27&source=Parrish1"><span style="color: blue;">FREE ACCESS to our April 26th event</span></a>: Doug Casey, Nick Giambruno and Justin Spittler will reveal why the marijuana boom is just starting right now. And how 2018 will be the year of marijuana millionaires for those who get into tiny, little known pot stocks today.
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<br />
Plus, you’ll discover why some of the best profit opportunities in marijuana have nothing to do with growing or producing the plant. Instead, Doug and the team will share the most promising “pick and shovel” plays. These are companies on their way to becoming the next “Home Depot of Pot” and “Amazon of Weed.”
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<br />
And Doug Casey will break down how he became a marijuana millionaire with a penny pot stock and why he sees bigger opportunities in today’s marijuana boom for those who get in now.
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Access to a brand new video training series: Released for the first time exclusively for this event, these 3 trainings will show you:<br />
<br />
<ul>
<li>Why everyone who thinks the biggest gains in marijuana have already been made are dead wrong. We’re actually at the very start of the biggest marijuana mania in history.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Why you don’t need to know anything about marijuana or investing for the chance to become a marijuana millionaire in today’s bull market.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>How marijuana stocks are delivering similar gains to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies… but are much safer and easier to buy. And we’re actually in an earlier stage of the marijuana boom than we are in Bitcoin.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Why regardless what the federal government does, marijuana legalization is a runaway train and the best opportunity today to turn a couple of hundred dollars into a fortune.</li>
</ul>
And much, much more…<br />
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You’ll be able to watch these short, information packed videos right on your computer or phone.<br />
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PLUS… you’ll be able to download the transcripts directly to your computer, print them out and read them at your leisure.
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<br />
During the first marijuana mania, the best pot stocks averaged peak gains of 24,000%. And that was with just two states (Washington and Colorado) legalizing recreational pot. Now that it’s legal in California, and Canada is set to go recreational this June, we’ll see the biggest marijuana profits in history from this bull market.<br />
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You’ll get all the details in our training and Summit.
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<a href="https://pages.exct.caseyresearch.com/page.aspx?QS=5c591a8916642e735771dd1714083a1ecea971c5aabd7ee6a4006e02babccc27&source=RP1"><span style="color: blue;"><b>Reserve Your Spot Now and gain access to the training materials at no cost to you </b></span></a></div>
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<script src="//z-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/onejs?MarketPlace=US&adInstanceId=58cfd5ef-01bc-487d-85f8-ddb9fbf1f324"></script>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-90341334489020937222018-03-27T06:35:00.000-07:002018-03-27T06:35:08.370-07:00This Week's Stock Market Analysis & Warning in Layman's TermsAs you likely know, the stock market, trading, and even long term investing are not easy. That’s why in this post we want to make the complex simple for you. We will do this in a way that will give you that “Eureka!” moment regarding knowing what the stock market is doing now, and <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/stock-market-analysis-warning-in-laymans-terms/"><span style="color: blue;">where it is headed</span></a> over the next 12-36 months.
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Last August we spotted trends in the underlying financial system that are very early warning signs that the bull market in stocks will be coming to an end, along with this growing economy. There is a ton of data taken into account for this information, but we have broken it down into simple bite size points that simply make logical sense, from a technical analysts perspective.
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<b><span style="font-size: large;">First Warning</span></b></div>
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Back in April 2017, we posted an article showing the first set of data that most traders and investors do not see or follow, mortgage delinquency rates. Delinquency rates in Single Family Residential Mortgages and other Consumer Loans began to climb through the second half of 2016 and continue to rise today. We shared with readers a way to take advantage of this using <a href="http://club.ino.com/trend/?symb=DRV&a_aid=CD3116&a_bid=6ae5b6f7">the Real Estate Bear Fund (DRV)</a>. This fund is now up over 20% and climbing as it rises when real estate falls. The rise and timing of this delinquency rate increase coincide almost identically with the Fed when they raise rates. And the problem is not just mortgages defaulting, the same is happening with commercial loans, and credit card debt.
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Just look at what has the fed being doing like a mad-man of late? Ya, jacking up rates like they are going out of style!
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The graph below shows a red line which is the fed rate, and as that rises so do loan delinquency rates (blue line). You will also see the grey shaded areas on the graph, and these are bear markets (falling stock prices). It’s obvious that we are headed towards financial issues once again with debt and the stock market.
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<b><span style="font-size: large;">Mortgage Rates and Delinquency Rates on the Rise</span></b></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYL6GIToX3GDXbrFKYaaLamMnTi19EsKvJr0sA9vm90OJ7dmGylNBToI-wGMfucHQ-kqyMwLwzFcR__rIaybFoa8jMHqnzsdP70BoG-EhggPqGHvf9dOtcHB2H5ki658zw-c_gHZMsROc/s1600/TTT+03-25-2018+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="443" data-original-width="801" height="352" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYL6GIToX3GDXbrFKYaaLamMnTi19EsKvJr0sA9vm90OJ7dmGylNBToI-wGMfucHQ-kqyMwLwzFcR__rIaybFoa8jMHqnzsdP70BoG-EhggPqGHvf9dOtcHB2H5ki658zw-c_gHZMsROc/s640/TTT+03-25-2018+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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On March 18th 2018 we post <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/real-estate-and-banking-pressures-are-building/"><span style="color: blue;">an update showing how real estate foreclosures are starting to rise</span></a> dramatically! Subscribers to our Wealth Building Trading Newsletter took advantage of this as we got long SRS inverse real estate fund which jumped over 5% in the first two days of owning it.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-B4BQ8OdTgETBoLu5YvUpKHrVvN-0z3YEJic7IKi7uJzX5MeNCIpUyhI0MwPy48tXMyVxlAf4hNro1ujxznOGN6m6BjryYfrquNu5oLLAQTL1aAeYNzIM6Swgz-yy5ITGg1Z8bn0WmJk/s1600/TTT+03-25-2018+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="427" data-original-width="697" height="392" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-B4BQ8OdTgETBoLu5YvUpKHrVvN-0z3YEJic7IKi7uJzX5MeNCIpUyhI0MwPy48tXMyVxlAf4hNro1ujxznOGN6m6BjryYfrquNu5oLLAQTL1aAeYNzIM6Swgz-yy5ITGg1Z8bn0WmJk/s640/TTT+03-25-2018+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: large;">Second Warning – Asset and Business Cycles</span></b></div>
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Because we are traders and investors our focus is on making money, so we are only looking at the blue wave/cycle on the diagram below. The blue cycle is the stock market, and the numbers posted along that cycle indicate which stocks/assets should be the most in favor, rising.
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As you can see the numbers 9 and 11 at the top are both commodity based (precious metals and energy). And knowing that commodities typically perform well just before a bear market in stocks unfolds, we are on the cusp of a new trade that could last a few months and post significant gains.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhFBPd-B1NeImbWnUwiSf4elBy_73iuBw7eB3Me26iYNJnqTxdQXgaSxUtLZh5zn7r9QZRV0D3zUIUtoRkzoACJLualUUsYECTfM8VWkGdAe0pwJnXLCXZDCWu_ow1xq5pj7oCRhvn7leU/s1600/TTT+03-25-2018+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="548" data-original-width="710" height="492" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhFBPd-B1NeImbWnUwiSf4elBy_73iuBw7eB3Me26iYNJnqTxdQXgaSxUtLZh5zn7r9QZRV0D3zUIUtoRkzoACJLualUUsYECTfM8VWkGdAe0pwJnXLCXZDCWu_ow1xq5pj7oCRhvn7leU/s640/TTT+03-25-2018+3.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: large;">COMMODITY PRICE INDEX</span></b></div>
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Take a look at the commodity index chart below. Without getting to <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_4_3_22">deep in to stage analysis</a> I will just say commodities have formed a very strong “Stage 1” and are primed and ready for a multi-month rally.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgz-ZfBfddnBl4HPIyPu6n1EiDvW5fxKgxKl3PG5euBMx57SnBaPrPzboBtkUlr5Vqpmp1grMuzxpyi3SX7Nk9UEAVcbhqfLvsYEfuBfxHxt12w2Luh8js3zrvxJqGD0noyBK_v1uyJ3Jo/s1600/TTT+03-25-2018+4.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="424" data-original-width="697" height="388" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgz-ZfBfddnBl4HPIyPu6n1EiDvW5fxKgxKl3PG5euBMx57SnBaPrPzboBtkUlr5Vqpmp1grMuzxpyi3SX7Nk9UEAVcbhqfLvsYEfuBfxHxt12w2Luh8js3zrvxJqGD0noyBK_v1uyJ3Jo/s640/TTT+03-25-2018+4.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b>Third Warning – Psychology of the Market</b></div>
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This market appears to be in a EUPHORIC “wonderland” moment driven by the fact that the global central banks have created a waterfall event of cheap money that is driving all of this asset valuation recovery. And, as capital is continually searching for the best environment for ROI, it is moving into the best areas of the global economy for survival purposes which we feel should soon be commodity-related assets, then eventually cash once the bear market takes hold.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimA9utEzrYg-iEaoSVvCFZfz5uFu6id-6Nlch2OGWnFYz1SgC8GnNL5OJCS8al9Thf_h1roQj8c-IalQRLzdO09Hi2Qh3L2sZgUW7o5Uf_h4dmnfg3xuEAle432V9o5ek2f5OpCUTe24c/s1600/TTT+03-25-2018+5.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="547" data-original-width="681" height="514" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimA9utEzrYg-iEaoSVvCFZfz5uFu6id-6Nlch2OGWnFYz1SgC8GnNL5OJCS8al9Thf_h1roQj8c-IalQRLzdO09Hi2Qh3L2sZgUW7o5Uf_h4dmnfg3xuEAle432V9o5ek2f5OpCUTe24c/s640/TTT+03-25-2018+5.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><b>Stock Market Conclusion</b></span></div>
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In short, as long as the capital continues to flow into the securities (stocks) and commodities in search for the best return on investment, we will continue to see markets hold up. But, stay cautious because when the markets turn and money is no longer looking for the next top performing sector or commodity, but rather just wants to exit investments as a whole and convert to cash (cash is king), that is when the bear market starts, and it could be very quick and violent.
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Additionally, as we’ve shown with these charts and graphs today, we are entering a frothy period in the markets, and we would urge all investors to be critically aware of the risks involved in being blind to these facets of the current stock market and housing bubbles.
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With 53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">market forecasts available today</a>. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">Our newsletter</a>, <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_4_3_22">Technical Trading Mastery book</a>, and <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_5_3_18"><span style="color: blue;">3 Hour Trading Video Course</span></a> are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11">Chris Vermeulen</a><br />
<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_4_3_22">Technical Traders Ltd.</a><br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-48967087866262094362018-02-06T05:59:00.003-08:002018-02-06T05:59:45.532-08:00Gold And Gold Miners Preparing for Big MoveJust a few days ago we <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/have-you-seen-palladium-tradable-price-pattern/">alerted our members and followers to a massive setup in the Palladium market</a> that had not been seen in years. This chart formation provides an incredible opportunity for a trader to take advantage of and profit from the expected price decline. We alerted our members and followers on January 24th of this move.
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As of today, Palladium has rotated downward by over 9% from the recent highs and should continue to move lower as this multi-month rotation extends. Even though this initial move lower (-9%) reaches our initial predicted target levels, we still believe support won’t be found till prices reach near the $1000 price level. If that support fails to hold, the price of Palladium could fall to the $900. This total move could be over -20% by the time this downward swing ends.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWRW7z6zeiquJKDxXrSAtu0yUHkqwhTqRvdhIYDExlW8PWX4w2IO4HO2qokDgLYo_p0iwnl0WX2viI2d71bvY0xOC9vHx3ljf97uUI22SLbt-RMOJO7taWlCg8sBfScxc59RfO3kBDegI/s1600/ttt+2-1-18+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="463" data-original-width="701" height="422" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWRW7z6zeiquJKDxXrSAtu0yUHkqwhTqRvdhIYDExlW8PWX4w2IO4HO2qokDgLYo_p0iwnl0WX2viI2d71bvY0xOC9vHx3ljf97uUI22SLbt-RMOJO7taWlCg8sBfScxc59RfO3kBDegI/s640/ttt+2-1-18+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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As an additional bonus, the other metals and Miner ETFs are starting a move in correlation with this massive rotation in Palladium. The aggressive move in Palladium may become a catalyst for the other metals and miners to sell off further.
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We warned weeks ago about this cycle top in gold and how it should rotate lower and move to near $1300 before finding support. This move has just started really and would equate to a -3.8~4.2% downward price correction.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifffIl5PIKB8WDJvtnORJrr66bofmj-NSrkbZi7NPEdRL7_upXFpEb9RotK2voL-jiTgl1W2Sk6sNecn7AyettXeNSP_icYH4M0f7mO7waql9jeA_7uTlHIELtVFEC0OgSan7pcK-0wlw/s1600/ttt+2-1-18+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="464" data-original-width="699" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifffIl5PIKB8WDJvtnORJrr66bofmj-NSrkbZi7NPEdRL7_upXFpEb9RotK2voL-jiTgl1W2Sk6sNecn7AyettXeNSP_icYH4M0f7mO7waql9jeA_7uTlHIELtVFEC0OgSan7pcK-0wlw/s640/ttt+2-1-18+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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The ability to see these moves and act on them provides our members with the ability to take a single trading signal and deploy multiple successful trades from it. We got our member’s long DUST near the very bottom of the market in anticipation of this move in the metals markets. Knowing that this move was set up and that it could be somewhat aggressive, we simply waited for the proper setup and trigger to alert our members.
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The overall potential from our DUST trade remains substantial. Currently, we have already locked in +11% for our members and we believe the final move could be much larger.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVmqSkYxF-gr7lKZvTMF74TN8fArr8MTPrZuIEq1OW8IYrPnZhpATCag4QqkWKfoKF1wk0-TARmGVBVqsGNJsUFboyc4C2be-NJL6lEKOAWnSKORM6P2eEs-dj-08dHUr_jRCeeQju-wk/s1600/ttt+2-1-18-+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="465" data-original-width="699" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVmqSkYxF-gr7lKZvTMF74TN8fArr8MTPrZuIEq1OW8IYrPnZhpATCag4QqkWKfoKF1wk0-TARmGVBVqsGNJsUFboyc4C2be-NJL6lEKOAWnSKORM6P2eEs-dj-08dHUr_jRCeeQju-wk/s640/ttt+2-1-18-+3.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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The reason we are alerting you, today, of the progress of our calls, is that the market conditions are changing, and these types of trade setups are going to happen every month and a lot of money can be made by taking advantage of them each month. <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Join our Wealth Building Newsletter here at The Technical Traders</span></a> and let us boost your trading returns with our daily analysis video, market updates, and trade alerts.
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We just <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/how-to-profit-from-natural-gas-price-spike/"><span style="color: blue;">closed out another winning trade</span></a> and members locked in a quick 9.1% profit with falling price of natural gas.
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Our articles, <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_4_3_22"><span style="color: blue;">Technical Trading Mastery book</span></a>, and <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_5_3_18"><span style="color: blue;">3 Hour Trading Video Course </span></a>are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.
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Chris Vermeulen<br />
Founder <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157_1_3_11"><span style="color: blue;">Technical Traders Ltd.</span></a><br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-12058518499928921162018-01-22T18:40:00.000-08:002018-01-22T18:40:45.543-08:00Are Traders Interested in Living Longer and Feeling Better?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://livelongerfeelbetter.ontraport.com/t?orid=251&opid=1" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="123" data-original-width="318" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgESqBkLqVjdL8wHXLwJLaTD7zltVg3kcuSXtnY_3IMRApevZvUFuh8zyMx6CTXn6uhd7AFOa0tG8_LCTaDYDFtAt_30Bob8MXqNy0vAn_pnFAyY93UJvUcCGUB0paZtxNmdQuiN4h6ayG/s1600/Live+Longer+Feel+Better.png" /></a></div>
For some reason my trading partners and our readers seem to be more interested in their health and longevity than my friends or even family members. It's for that reason we are excited to give you a quick heads up about something we think is going to be very important to them. And it’s happening really soon.<br />
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On February 1st, at 6:00 p.m. est, the "<a href="https://livelongerfeelbetter.ontraport.com/t?orid=251&opid=1"><span style="color: blue;">Live Longer, Feel Better!</span></a>" documentary will air its live first episode. And believe me, you won’t want to miss even ONE of the experts that director Michael Beattie has brought together.<br />
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I’ve had a sneak peek at it and this is absolutely going to change how you think about getting older and maintaining your health. If you're AT ALL concerned about where you'll be in 30 years time, <a href="https://livelongerfeelbetter.ontraport.com/t?orid=251&opid=1"><span style="color: blue;">you MUST see this</span></a>.<br />
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<a href="https://livelongerfeelbetter.ontraport.com/t?orid=251&opid=1"><span style="color: blue;"><b>Click Here to Watch the Trailer</b></span></a>
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Please make time to watch this, and help me spread the word if you can.
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To your health,
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Ray's Stock World<br />
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PS. One final note – Each episode of <a href="https://livelongerfeelbetter.ontraport.com/t?orid=251&opid=1"><span style="color: blue;">this incredible 7 part series</span></a> will be online for only 24 hours from release. Make sure you register right now so you don’t miss a single thing. You’ll be excited by what you’re about to discover.
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Below is a Quick One Minute+ Video Trailer We Below
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<iframe allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/gMSX-EkNVn8?rel=0&showinfo=0" width="560"></iframe>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-72149637875360222572017-12-30T06:46:00.001-08:002017-12-31T11:15:19.653-08:002018 First Quarter Technical Analysis Price ForecastAs 2017 draws to a close, our analysis shows the first Quarter of 2018 should start off with a solid rally. Our researchers use our proprietary modeling and technical analysis systems to assist our members with detailed market analysis and timing triggers from expected intraday price action to a multi-month outlook.
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These tools help us to keep our members informed of market trends, reversals, and big moves. Today, we are going to share some of our predictive modelings with you to show you why we believe the first three months of 2018 should continue higher.
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One of our most impressive and predictive modeling systems is <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=1658"><span style="color: blue;">the Adaptive Dynamic Learning system</span></a>. This system allows us to ask the market what will be the highest possible outcome of recent trading activity projected into the future. It accomplishes this by identifying Genetic Price/Pattern markers in the past and recording them into a Genome Map of price activity and probable outcomes.
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This way, when we ask it to show us what it thinks will be the highest probable outcome for the future, it looks into this Genome Map, finds the closest relative Genetic Price/Pattern marker and then shows us what this Genome marker predicts as the more likely outcome.
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This current Weekly chart of the SPY is showing us that the next few Weeks and Months of price activity should produce a minimum of a $5 – $7 rally. This means that we could see a continued 2~5% rally in US Equities early in 2018.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgE87n5ak8zCflhoBDGsZmGNuHI1yISFgSQt4pmUB74-T0zi5Q7iOqPxHOZPtqIztAuy8twWfLKeA-yvtO9Va1WMDzZXg0CwUEJrpS3_QigvHfjCOl02AKKMW1bBJu05l9zJ4qehvoOM0/s1600/The+Technical+Traders+12-29-2017+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="537" data-original-width="1116" height="306" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgE87n5ak8zCflhoBDGsZmGNuHI1yISFgSQt4pmUB74-T0zi5Q7iOqPxHOZPtqIztAuy8twWfLKeA-yvtO9Va1WMDzZXg0CwUEJrpS3_QigvHfjCOl02AKKMW1bBJu05l9zJ4qehvoOM0/s640/The+Technical+Traders+12-29-2017+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Additionally, the ES (S&P E-mini futures) is confirming this move in early 2018 with its own predictive analysis. The ADL modeling system is showing us that the ES is likely to move +100 pts from current levels before the end of the first Quarter 2018 equating to a +3.5% move (or higher). We can see from this analysis that a period of congestion or consolidation is expected near the end of January or early February 2018 – which would be a great entry opportunity.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiABdTIxtS_VW-2W41sJGjuzn05A86G-9n57Q9oEk36jUAislhCuG4p-DChaGgOGxh18xVPk39Gtv36RvkR_BqOMZtJ3aAnK2GEjs617_N938tjqOtrbbZKgFBSICp6HSqnjcUJ7AMbx-k/s1600/The+Technical+Traders+12-29-2017+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="540" data-original-width="1115" height="308" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiABdTIxtS_VW-2W41sJGjuzn05A86G-9n57Q9oEk36jUAislhCuG4p-DChaGgOGxh18xVPk39Gtv36RvkR_BqOMZtJ3aAnK2GEjs617_N938tjqOtrbbZKgFBSICp6HSqnjcUJ7AMbx-k/s640/The+Technical+Traders+12-29-2017+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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The trends for both of these charts is strongly Bullish and the current ADL price predictions allow investors to understand the opportunities and expectations for the first three months of 2018. Imagine being able to know or understand that a predictive modeling system can assist you in making decisions regarding the next two to three months as well as assist you in planning and protecting your investments? How powerful would that technology be to you?
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Our job at <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=1658"><span style="color: blue;">Technical Traders Ltd. </span></a>is to assist our members in finding and executing profitable trades and to assist them in understanding market trends, reversals, and key movers. We offer a variety of analysis types within our service to support any level of a trader from novice to expert, and short term to long term investors.
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Our specialized modeling systems allow us to provide one of a kind research and details that are not available anywhere else. Our team of researchers and traders are dedicated to helping us all find great success with our trading.
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So, now that you know what to expect from the SPY and ES for the next few months, do you want to know what is going to happen in Gold, Silver, Bonds, FANGs, the US Dollar, Bitcoin, and more?<br />
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Join <a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=1658"><span style="color: blue;">The Technical Traders Right Here</span></a> to gain this insight and knowledge today.<br />
<br />
Chris Vermeulen
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3179265412462644729.post-74474061911455048592017-12-21T04:32:00.000-08:002017-12-21T04:32:04.752-08:00Today's Gap Fill and Prediction Complete, What's Next?Subscribers of our <span style="color: blue;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/home/etf-cycle-trader/">Technical Traders Wealth Building Newsletter</a> </span>were told before the market opened that stocks were set to gap higher and then fill the price gap. Only 12 minutes after the market opened the gap window was filled for a 9.5 pt move in the SP500, which is a quick $475 profit for those trading futures, or $103 profit per 100 shares traded of the SPY ETF.
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhySABnzuYTmefvlqkDumUoF9_ITZVYLJpRArhdmF77GB3Csvk40KbGMhfaW0LKmbSuIvYKTrlo0TczSz5D1iXYXDiSvI9RECIbXYhiLXThSZjhVortAontWm4SfcvZgLonjrtbtF_6Ij8/s1600/Technical+Traders+12-20-2017+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="354" data-original-width="566" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhySABnzuYTmefvlqkDumUoF9_ITZVYLJpRArhdmF77GB3Csvk40KbGMhfaW0LKmbSuIvYKTrlo0TczSz5D1iXYXDiSvI9RECIbXYhiLXThSZjhVortAontWm4SfcvZgLonjrtbtF_6Ij8/s640/Technical+Traders+12-20-2017+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<div style="text-align: center;">
<b><span style="font-size: large;">Yesterdays Gap Fill Forecast
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<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/partners/idevaffiliate.php?id=157&url=http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/home/etf-cycle-trader/" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;" target="_blank"><img border="0" data-original-height="357" data-original-width="569" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvAmd16PGIBQpODoa7P8cFYKRLIH0Vl-C0pfDYx6rbPX5EBI9JVx0o-Q_KHgqZE5c1crTGc8iqm7G05tSsPT5H954oUww8ebKbbwr-QJXXce8Cg5oxuON7GPhg7lhvTn5-EbRYG85d77U/s640/The+Technical+Traders+12-20-2017+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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If you want to know what the market are going to do today, this week, and next month be sure to subscribe to our new and improved market trend forecast and trading newsletter....<br />
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