Friday, March 11, 2011

The SPX Dances Between Excitement and Danger

Many readers might remember that exactly two years ago the S&P 500 tagged the infamous 666 price level before putting on a monster 2 year rally that saw it surge over 100% to the February 2011 highs. Investors today are staring at a rising wall of risk while corporate credit spreads remain bullish, corporations have been able to expand margins and produce increasing profits, and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has declared that there are no inflationary concerns. Quite frankly I am going to leave Ben Bernanke alone simply because so many other people will do a better job of declaring him incompetent and the creator of massive bubbles in risk assets, but I digress.

Right now investors have to weigh rising oil prices, geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, the threat of higher interest rates and inflation against the bullish backdrop discussed above. The price action in the broader market place is talking, but we have to listen with an open mind currently. There are two key price levels that are obvious when we look at a daily chart of SPX. First of all, the SPX 1331-1332 price level is acting as major resistance and holding the bulls in check. Should this level be breached to the upside on a daily close, we could see prices extend higher to test recent highs. These charts illustrate the key upside level around 1331-1332.....Check out "The SPX Dances Between Excitement and Danger"


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