Turkeys Spending Trillions and Yet There's Still Room For Thanks

From guest blogger Adam Hewison.....

Have you ever built or remodeled a house? If you have, then you know that it always takes longer and cost twice as much as you first estimated. This is exactly the position that the US government has put itself in, only this time the house is the whole country. Now we have to gut the country and totally redo everything. It's likely to take twice as much time and cost US taxpayers twice as much money to get out of this recession.

Do you know how many zeros there are in a trillion dollars? I really didn't know myself, as that is way above my pay scale. So, I looked it up on Google and there are 12 zeros behind the 1. When this mess is all over, we will be lucky if the government doesn't spend 5 trillion dollars (5,000,000,000,000) to get everything back to some form of normalcy in the US markets.

We are continually seeing new people being trotted out in front of the cameras and microphone saying that this bailout is going to cost $700 billion and something else is going to cost $350 billion. I have a deep suspicion that they have no clue and no belief in what they are saying or doing. It's also amazing to me that the people that got us into this mess in the first place on now in charge of getting us out of this mess. This does not seem like a very smart idea to me.

One of the most interesting things about the markets is that they never tell you when a bottom is in place until much later. I think that the many economic problems that are currently sitting on the back burner, will warrant this market to continue its slide to the downside. If you haven't seen my video, "How Low Can The Dow Go," I recommend that you check it out by tapping this link: Video Link

The technical outlook for the stock market remains negative in my opinion. There's a great deal of overhead resistance in this market which leads me to believe we will still see further downside erosion. Unlike a bull market that constantly needs to have positive inputs like earnings and positive outlooks, a bear market simply can fall on its own weight.

One thing we rely on to tell us when the market switches gears from a negative to a positive trend is our "Trade Triangle" technology. Presently all of our "Trade Triangles" are in a negative mode for all the indices, and show little or no signs of turning up.

So what's an investor to do?

Do you buy and hold because it looks cheap? That is not the way I believe you want to trade this market. The closest parallel we have to this market is the crash of 1929 and the bear market that lasted into the early '30s. We've only been in this crisis mode for a little over a year and I believe we have a way to go before the recovery begins.

We still have a downside projection for the DOW at 6,600 and we see little or no reason to change that technical target at this time.

Make no mistake about it, these are difficult times for many people, and many people will lose their jobs before business and the markets pick up. There's still the mess with General Motors (NYSE_GM), Ford (NYSE_F) and Chrysler to take care of. How much is that going to cost? In my opinion, the auto industry has been in decline and denial since the '70s, and any money that is given to them is like throwing money down a rat hole unless there is a major new business plan and a severe downsizing of those industries.

No matter what rough times lay ahead, keep the faith, keep your head down and the computer on, because there are some great trading opportunities that I know will be coming up soon in the marketplace.

From all of our staff both at INO.com and MarketClub, we wish you success in the future. To all of our American friends and clients, we hope you had a very Happy Thanksgiving. We still have a lot to be thankful for in this world.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub


P.S. - A little off topic but please check out my latest Video On Gold : Click Here For Gold Video

Could Gold Be The Last Chance At Market Value?

Usually drops in the Dow, SP 500 and Nasdaq lead to huge increases in metals, gold in particular. But recently that hasn't been much of the case...but why? And will this latest drop lead to a major run in gold? Check out our new video to get the answers.

Click Here To Watch Video

So How low Do You Think The Dow Can Go?

Watch Video

Make no mistake about it, the market action on last Wednesday (November 19th) was extremely negative for all of the indices that we track. The close below 8,000 on the DOW can only be described as negative, indicating further weakness to the downside. I am looking for this index to trade down to around the 6600-6700 level.

Looking at the charts using our "Trade Triangle" technology, it is clear that the Dow has been under pressure since our first major sell signal at 11,290. I see no reason to alter this stand, as I believe the trend will continue to be on the downside. I expect to see further weakness in the weeks and months to come.

Here are the three choices you have as an investor:

1. You can go long a market.
2. You can go short a market.
3. You can move into cash.

I'm often amused when I see people buying "defensive stocks." Why not get out of the market entirely when it's going down. Doesn't that make more sense to everyone?
However, most brokers want you to stay in the market at all times fearing that they will miss a bottom. Truth is, most investors (including brokers) missed the top, so what makes anyone so sure that they'll catch the bottom?
The key in trading is not to get out at the top, or in at the bottom. Anyone who tells you to do that isn't playing smart in the markets, and most likely claims that they are holding the "holy grail" of trading.

An investor's goal should be to capture 70% of a move. The middle is the sweet spot, and if you make enough in the middle then who cares about the tops and bottoms. Forget picking up the 15% on the top and 15% on the bottom, it doesn't work consistently to use it as a trading strategy.

Check out my new video and see exactly where we got out of the indexes and were we see them headed right now...

Enjoy the video

Click Here To Watch Video

Guest Blogger....
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

Louise Yamata And The S & P 500

Louise Yamata and her call on the S & P 500

Earlier this year I posted on my blog that not only did I think the DOW would plummet to 10,000 but I felt we would blow right through those levels. I have never received so many emails and complaints. I am not quick to make those kind of statements and I remember like it was yesterday what made me say it with confidence.

Louise Yamata. Louise is one of the most respected chartologist on Wall Street and when she called for the DOW to fall to the 10,000 levels I knew my "educated guess" was not unfounded.

Yesterday [Thursday, November 20th 2008] Louise Yamata made an appearance on CNBC's Fast Money and she threw out the bomb. She called for S & P 500 numbers to reach the 400 to 600 range. So many people just can't imagine these kind of numbers, I can. There is just to many "feet to drop" so to speak and we are a lot earlier on in this recession [is that what you are calling it] than most people think.

Over the years I have learned to ignore the talking heads and the cheerleaders on television and in the newspapers. They all suffer from the "just wait long enough and it will go up" syndrome. The last decade should be enough for anyone who invest for the long run in equities to give that a second thought. I for one will still sell any long position into the rallies and short this market.

If you just can't bring yourself to short this market it might be a good idea to get into cash and enjoy your Christmas. Just my take!

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Alerts: MarketClub can quickly alert you of major market occurrences that directly affect your portfolio. You customize your parameters and we will send you a message when symbols in your portfolio have hit a new price breakout, net change, triangle issued, 1,3,4 or 52 week hi or low and strong or weak DMA.

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If you have not checked out The Market Club, take this opportunity to try your Free Trial Membership. Adam Hewison and the guys at Market Club will have teach you a worry method of trading the trend that works!

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Dollar...Stocks...Crude...what's next?

From Adam Hewison,
President, INO.Com
Co-Creator, Market Club

When Paulson came out Wednesday and stated that his earlier plan to save the western world was not working, he offered up a plan "C" (or is it "D") to relieve pressure on consumer credit, scrapping his earlier effort to buy the value mortgage assets.

No matter what happens or what the next plan is here, are the 3 reasons I believe stocks are headed lower.

* Number one: The trend in most all stocks is down. This trend is likely to persist and last longer than most people imagine.

* Number two: There is no plan. The government is floundering and does not have a plan that is going to work anytime soon.

* Number three: We have a lame-duck president, and nothing is going to happen of any consequence until President-elect Obama is sworn in.

New Video analysis of what could really happen: Watch Video

Okay, so let's look at the first problem. Most people trading the market today have had no experience in a prolonged bear market like the one we had in the '70s. That bear market was brutal as it did not let anyone out. Over the course of the early '70s, the bear market basically wore people out to the extent they eventually just threw in the towel. We believe the market is going to make another new low and take out the recent lows that were put in place in early October. Unlike a bull market that constantly needs positive news to drive it higher, a bear market just falls under its own weight.

The second problem we have is that there is no concrete plan in place to rescue the economy. In fact, the domestic and global economic issues are so great that they are overwhelming in scope. The Paulson plan, which is being changed and will continue to change, is a major concern and creates significant uncertainty in the marketplace. Only when we see the new regime take! off ice this coming January will we see any meaningful changes.

The third problem we have is a lame-duck president. This is a major problem for the markets as President-elect Obama can not make any sweeping changes until he is sworn into office. Yes, he may hit the ground running, but the reality is, it's not for over two months from now and a lot can happen to the market in two months. The key levels that everyone is going to be watching for are the recent lows we saw in early October. If these lows are taken out, and I expect they will be, it's going to push this market and everything else down to new lows. It will exacerbate the housing situation, the unemployment situation and most of all, the morale of the country.

Having lived through the bear market of the '70s, I know firsthand how difficult the journey we face is going to be. Now this may seem like a very pessimistic outlook and in some ways it is, however there are always opportunities to make mone! y i n the marketplace. These opportunities may not be in stocks! , it may be in forex or the commodity markets.

So buckle your seatbelt. I think we are in for a bumpy ride...Just click here to check out the new video analysis

Adam Hewison,
President, INO.Com
Co-Creator, Market Club

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Forget The Experts, Trade The Trends And Sleep Good

I know, you hear it every day on the "alphabet" TV channels. These are tough times, what are you to do? Your portfolio is in the brink!

What you do is change your mind set. Stop investing, at least for now. And what I mean by that you should stop listening to the "experts" and become a trader. A trader who relies on trends. And believe me you can do this and sleep good at night.

My life as a trader changed upon meeting Adam Hewison and the guys at Market Club and INO.Com. Adam has a simple system for following the trends that has changed my life. The Market Club subscription is worth every penny, but Adam will let you sign up for a free account that will notify you daily of the trend of all of the stocks you include in your free account.

Here is a small example of what it looks like.....

Early this week the Chinese government announced a "Stimulus Package" that caused all of the commodities and especially the metals to pop. Let's say you have a position in Freeport McMoran, ticker FCX, and you are thinking "do I sell this rally, or back up the truck because it's off to the races"? Let's look at the chart from my free portfolio that was emailed to me.....

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FREEPORT-MCMORAN COPPER & GOLD (NYSE:FCX) Strong Downtrend Up Arrow

Smart Scan Chart Analysis confirms that a strong downtrend is in place and that the market remains negative longer term. Strong Downtrend with money management stops. A triangle indicates the presence of a very strong trend that is being driven by strong forces and insiders.

Based on a pre-defined weighted trend formula for chart analysis, FCX scored -100 on a scale from -100 (strong downtrend) to +100 (strong uptrend):

-10 Last Hour Close Below 5 hour Moving Average
-15 New 3 Day Low on Tuesday
-20 Last Price Below 20 Day Moving Average
-25 New 3 Week Low, Week Ending October 25th
-30 New 3 Month Low in October
-100 Total Score


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I quick look at the chart makes this a simple call to sell FCX on the rally caused by the catalyst created by the Chinese announcement. It is not even close, Freeport McMoran is trending down. And wouldn't you know it, FCX lost 10% right out of the gate this morning.

If you subscribe to the Market Club you will also be supplied your buy and sell signals with the Triangle Trading method. Again, worth every penny.

So forget what the experts are telling you and trade the trends. Take your life back and make money in any market.

Get your FREE favorite symbols' Trend Analysis TODAY! Click Here

Ray's Friday Evening Extreme Market Commentary

STOCK INDEXES

The December NASDAQ 100 closed sharply higher on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline but remains below the 10-day moving average crossing at 1299.02. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. However, stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this week's decline, October's low crossing at 1136.75 is the next downside target. Closes below this support level would renew this fall's decline while opening the door for a possible test of the 87% retracement level of the 2002-2007 rally crossing at 979.84. Closes above Wednesday's high crossing at 1389.00 are needed to renew the rally off October's low. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1298.92. Second resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 1389.00. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 1235.00. Second support is October's low crossing at 1136.75.

The December S&P 500 index closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline but remains below the 10 day moving average crossing at 938.74. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, October's low crossing at 825.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1066.50 are needed to confirming that an important low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 938.77. Second resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 1008.00. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 900.50. Second support is October's low crossing at 825.00.

The Dow posted an inside day with a higher close on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 8967 confirming that a short term top has been posted. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. If the Dow extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 8143 then October's low crossing at 7882 are the next downside targets. Closes below October's low would renew this fall's decline while opening the door for a possible test of the 87% retracement level of the 2002-2007 rally crossing at 8072 then the 2002 low crossing at 7197 later this year. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 8967. Second resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 9653. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 8684.96. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 8143.

INTEREST RATES

December T-bonds closed down 14/32's at 116-12. December T-bonds closed lower on Friday due to profit taking as it consolidated some of this week's rally but remains above the 10 day moving average crossing at 115-16. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 119-12 is the next upside target. Closes above 119-12 would renew the rally off October's low. First resistance is today's high crossing at 117-09. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 119-12. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 115-16. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 115-09.

ENERGY MARKETS

December crude oil closed slightly higher on Friday due to short covering as it consolidated some of this week's decline. Today's mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this fall's decline, the 75% retracement level crossing at 51.81 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 68.60 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 64.89. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 68.60. First support is today's low crossing at 59.97. Second support is the 75% retracement level crossing at 51.81.

December heating oil closed higher on Friday due to short covering as it consolidated some of Thursday's decline but remains below the 10 day moving average crossing at 201.06. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this fall's decline, monthly support marked by the 62% retracement level of the 1999-2008 rally crossing at 176.90 is the next downside target. Closes above Tuesday's high crossing at 221.13 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 201.06. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 208.78. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 193.55. Second support is October's low crossing at 190.89.



December unleaded gas closed slightly higher due to light short covering on Friday as it consolidated some of Thursday's decline. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Despite today's rebound, stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this fall's decline, monthly support crossing at 103.50 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 154.92 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 142.89. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 154.92. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 132.40. Second support is monthly support crossing at 103.50.

December Henry natural closed below the 10 day moving average crossing at 6.779 on Friday confirming that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends today's decline, the reaction low crossing at 6.330 is the next downside target. Closes below October's low crossing at 6.240 would renew this year's decline while opening the door for a possible test of the 2007 September low crossing at 5.249. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 7.332 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's low crossing at 7.36. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 7.332. First support is today's low crossing at 6.720. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 6.330.

CURRENCIES

The December Dollar closed slightly higher on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Despite today's rally, stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that a short-
term top is in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 85.05 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews this fall's rally, weekly resistance crossing at 90.26 is the next upside target. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 88.49. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 90.26. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.05. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 83.75.

The December Euro closed slightly higher on Friday due to light short covering but remains below the 10 day moving average crossing at 127.597. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 132.770 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December renews this fall's decline, weekly support crossing at 121.770 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 129.992. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 132.770. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 125.070. Second support is October's low crossing at 123.260.

The December British Pound closed lower on Friday as it extended this week's decline below the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.5912. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews this fall's decline, the 87% retracement level of the 2001-2007 rally crossing at 1.4574 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1.6634 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1.5912. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1.6392. First support is today's low crossing at 1.5511. Second support is October's low crossing at 1.5224.

The December Swiss Franc closed lower on Friday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20
day moving average crossing at .8683 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December extends this fall's decline, weekly support crossing at .8071 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at .8630. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at .8683. First support is Thursday's low crossing at .8303. Second support is weekly support crossing at .8071.

The December Canadian Dollar closed lower on Friday as it consolidates some of this week's rally but remains above the 20 day moving average crossing at 82.89. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. If December renews the rally off October's low, the reaction high crossing at 88.42 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 82.74 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 87.24. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 88.42. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 82.89. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 82.74.

The December Japanese Yen closed lower on Friday as it consolidates below the 10 day moving average crossing at .10228. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at .10228 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If December extends the decline off October's high, the reaction low crossing at .9800 is the next downside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at .10347. Second resistance is last Friday's high crossing at .10396. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at .10153. Second support is Tuesday's low crossing at .9953.



PRECIOUS METALS

December gold closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of Thursday's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-
term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 761.90 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If December renews this fall's decline, the 62% retracement level of the 2004-2008 rally crossing at 651.10 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 761.90. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 778.30. First support is last Friday's low crossing at 717.10. Second support is October's low crossing at 681.00.

December silver closed lower on Friday due to profit taking as it consolidates some of this week's rally but remains above the 20 day moving average crossing at 9.834. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 12.355 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 9.767 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at 10.800. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 12.355. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 9.834. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 9.767.

December copper closed lower on Friday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews this fall's decline, monthly support crossing at 152.15 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 217.20 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 185.01. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 195.82. First support is today's low crossing at 168.80. Second support is October's low crossing at 162.65.

FOOD & FIBER

December coffee closed higher on Friday due to short covering as it consolidated some of Thursday's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews this fall's decline, monthly support crossing at 10.335 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 12.1100 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted.

December cocoa closed higher on Friday due to short covering as it consolidated some of this week's decline but remains below the 10-day moving average crossing at 19.98. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews this fall's decline, the 2007 low crossing at 18.45 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 21.96 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

March sugar closed higher on Friday due to short covering as it consolidated some of Thursday's decline. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that a short-term top is in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 11.61 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off October's low, the reaction high crossing at 14.72 is the next upside target.

December cotton closed lower on Friday and posted a new contract low as it extends this fall's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this year's decline, monthly support crossing at 41.72 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 47.28 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

GRAINS

December corn closed lower on Friday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, October's low crossing at 3.68 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes below this support level would renew this fall's decline while opening the door for a possible test of the 87% retracement level of the 2006-2008 rally crossing at 3.27. First resistance is Thursday's gap crossing at 3.90. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.97. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 3.74 1/2. Second support is October's low crossing at 3.68 3/4.

December wheat closed down 1 1/2-cent at 5.21. December wheat closed lower on Friday and below the 87% retracement level of the 2007-2008 rally crossing at 5.36 3/4. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews this fall's decline, the May 2007 low crossing at 4.90 is the next downside target. Closes above Tuesday's high crossing at 5.86 would confirm that a short-term bottom has been posted.

December Kansas City Wheat closed up 5-cents at 5.68. December Kansas City Wheat closed higher on Friday due to short covering as it consolidated some of Thursday's decline but remains below the 10-day moving average crossing at 5.77 1/2. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews this summer's decline, the May 2007 low crossing at 4.96 is the next downside target. Closes above Tuesday's high crossing at 6.22 1/2 are needed to confirm that a bottom has been posted.

December Minneapolis wheat closed up 6-cents at 6.40. December Minneapolis wheat closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline but remains below the 10 day moving average crossing at 6.44 3/4. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, October's low crossing at 5.89 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 7.10 are needed to confirm that a seasonal bottom has been posted.

SOYBEAN COMPLEX

January soybeans closed up 15-cents at 9.21. January soybeans closed higher on Friday due to short covering as it consolidates some of Wednesday's decline but remains below the 10 day moving average crossing at 9.23 1/2. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If January renews this fall's decline, the 2007 low crossing at 8.15 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 10.03 are needed to confirm that a seasonal low has been posted.

December soybean meal closed up $8.90 at $271.70. December soybean meal closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline and closed above the 20 day moving average crossing at 266.00. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, October's low crossing at 237.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 289.00 are needed to renew the rally off October's low.

December soybean oil closed down 27 pts. at 33.90. December soybean oil closed lower on Friday as it extended this week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December renews this fall's decline, the 2007 low crossing at 27.50 is the next downside target. Closes above Tuesday's high crossing at 37.07 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

LIVESTOCK

December hogs closed up $0.57 at $55.40. December hogs gapped up and closed higher on Friday due to short covering. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 56.93 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December extends this fall's decline, monthly support crossing at 50.65 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 55.85. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 56.93. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 53.90. Second support is monthly support crossing at 50.65.

February bellies closed up $2.30 at $86.10. February bellies gapped up and closed sharply higher on Friday as it rebounds off Wednesday's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 86.20 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If February extends this week's decline, weekly support crossing at 80.67 is the next downside target.
December cattle closed down $0.50 at 92.80.

December cattle closed lower on Friday as it consolidates some of this week's rally but remains above the 20 day moving average crossing at 91.76. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 91.76 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If December extends this week's rally, gap resistance crossing at 97.50 is the next upside target.
November feeder cattle closed up $0.07 at $98.95.

October Feeder cattle closed higher on Friday but the low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 97.73 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If November extends this week's rally, gap resistance crossing at 105.25 is the next upside target.

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There is a 20 year "Super Cycle" in global infrastructure build out coming. And I really believe that if you had to pick one long term play it should be an infrastructure company.

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Extreme Market Commentary For Wednesday Evening

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT
The U.S. stock indexes closed sharply lower today as traders experienced a post election hangover after pushing index prices sharply higher on Tuesday. News today from ADP that projected a very weak U.S. jobs report on Friday also reminded traders how sick is the U.S. economy, with recovery nowhere close at hand. There are still early technical clues to suggest market bottoms are in place. However, as the weakening economic news continues to trickle into the marketplace, it will be hard for the stock market bulls to get excited about sustaining any solid uptrend in prices. Do remember that during serious economic weakness or recession that generally the stock market puts in a low well before all the bad economic news is reported.

INTEREST RATES

December U.S. T-Bonds closed up 1 26/32 at 117 6/32 today. Prices closed near the session high on more short covering and flight to quality buying amid a big sell off in the stock market today. A bullish double bottom reversal pattern has formed on the daily bar chart. Bulls have fresh upside near-term technical momentum.

ENERGY MARKETS
December crude oil closed down $5.35 at $65.18 a barrel today. Prices closed near the session low today. A sharply lower U.S. stock market pressured the crude today. Crude oil bears still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices remain in a 3 1/2 month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December heating oil closed down 1,086 points at $2.0530 today. Prices closed near the session low. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage. A 3 1/2 month old downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

December (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed down 1,077 points at $1.4250 today. Prices closed near the session low today. There was not follow-through buying interest today and a bullish "key reversal" up was not confirmed on the daily bar chart. The bears are still in technical control. Prices are still in a 3 1/2 month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December natural gas closed up 4.1 cents at $7.26 today. Prices closed nearer the session high and closed at a fresh four week high close on more short covering in a bear market. The bulls have some fresh upside near term technical momentum but need to do more upside work to begin to suggest that a near term low is in place.

CURRENCIES
The December Euro currency closed down 15 points at 1.2916 today. Prices closed near mid-range. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage amid still no strong technical clues that a market low is close at hand. Prices are still in a 3 1/2 month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

The December Japanese yen closed up 116 points at 1.0152 today. Prices closed near the session high today. No serious chart damage has been inflicted recently. Bulls still have the near-term technical advantage.

The December Swiss franc closed up 18 points at .8605 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Short covering in a bear market was featured again today. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage.

The December Canadian dollar closed down 96 points at .8576 today. Prices closed nearer the session low after hitting a fresh three week high early on. Bulls still have some upside near term technical momentum to begin to suggest that a market low is in place.

The December British pound closed down 6 points at 1.5886 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. Bears still have the near term technical advantage. Prices are still in a six week old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

The December U.S. dollar index closed up 13 points at 85.50 today. Prices closed near mid range today. No serious chart damage has occurred recently and the bulls still have the overall near term technical advantage. There are no strong early technical clues of a market top being close at hand.

PRECIOUS METALS
December gold futures closed down $16.20 at $741.10 today. Prices closed near the session low today. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured gold today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage.

December silver futures closed up 27.0 cents at $10.40 an ounce today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and closed at a fresh three week high close. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage. Prices are still trading below a 3 1/2 month old downtrend line on the daily bar chart.

December N.Y. copper closed down 1,460 points at 181.20 cents today. Prices closed near the session low today. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured copper today. Copper bears still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a four month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

SOFTS
March sugar closed down 4 points at 12.67 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured sugar today. Prices are still trading below a 2 1/2 month old downtrend line drawn from the August and September highs.

December coffee closed down 50 points at 116.20 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low today but did poke to a fresh four week high early on. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured coffee today. Coffee bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage.

December cocoa closed down $27 at $1,972 today. Prices closed near the session low today. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured corn today. Cocoa bears still have the overall near term technical advantage.

December cotton closed down 203 points at 44.29 cents today. Prices closed near the session low today. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured cotton today. The cotton bears still have the solid near term technical advantage. Prices are still in a 7 1/2 month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

January orange juice closed up 315 points at $.8600. Prices closed near the session high today. More short covering was featured. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage. However, prices have been trading sideways for four weeks and that does favor the bullish camp as it suggests a bottoming process.

January lumber futures closed up $4.00 at $209.50 today. Prices closed near the session high and were supported by more short covering in a bear market. Lumber bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage.

GRAINS
December corn futures closed down 21 1/2 cents at $3.91 1/2 today. Prices closed near the session low. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured corn today. Bears gained some fresh downside technical momentum today. Corn prices are still trading below a four month old downtrend line on the daily bar chart.

January soybeans closed down 54 1/2 cents at $9.04 1/2 today. Prices closed near the session low today. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured beans today. Soybean bears remain in overall near term technical command and gained fresh downside momentum today.

December soybean meal closed down $12.80 at $265.00 today. Prices closed near the session low today. Bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage.

December bean oil closed down 195 points at 34.02 cents today. Prices closed near the session low today. Bean oil prices are still in a four month old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bears still have the near term technical advantage.

December Chicago SRW wheat closed down 35 1/4 cents at $5.37 1/4 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Mostly bearish "outside markets" sharply lower crude oil prices and sharp losses in the stock market pressured wheat today. The bulls had gained some fresh upside technical momentum, but lost it today. The wheat bears have the overall near term technical advantage and regained downside momentum today.

LIVESTOCK
December live cattle closed up $0.42 at $94.27 today. Prices closed near the session high today and did close at a fresh three-week high close on more short covering and bargain hunting buying interest. While the bears do still have the overall near-term technical advantage, the bulls have gained upside momentum recently to begin to suggest a near-term low is in place.

November feeder cattle closed up $0.15 at $100.65 today. Prices closed near the session high today and poked to a fresh four-week high on bargain-hunting buying and short covering. The bulls have gained technical momentum recently to begin to suggest a near term low is in place.

December lean hogs closed up $0.05 at $54.47 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Prices set a fresh contract low early on today. Hog bears still have the near term technical advantage, amid bearish cash market fundamentals. Prices are still in a three month old downtrend on the daily bar chart. There are no clues of a market low being close at hand.

February pork bellies closed down $0.85 at $83.80 today. Prices closed near mid-range and did poke to a fresh contract low. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six week old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

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Key Stock Market Commentary For Monday Evening

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENTARY
The U.S. stock indexes closed firmer today in quieter pre election trading. The stock index bears still have the near term technical advantage. However, there are now early technical clues to suggest market bottoms are in place or close at hand. However, as the weakening economic news continues to trickle into the marketplace, it will be hard for the stock market bulls to get excited about sustaining any solid uptrend in prices. Do remember that during serious economic weakness or recession that generally the stock market puts in a low well before all the bad economic news is reported.

ENERGY MARKETS
December crude oil closed down $3.84 at $63.97 a barrel today. Prices closed near the session low today. A firmer U.S. dollar pressured crude oil. Crude oil bears do still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices remain in a 3 1/2 month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December heating oil closed down 993 points at $1.9849 today. Prices closed near the session low. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage. A 3 1/2 month-old downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

December (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed down 1,302 points at $1.3657 today. Prices closed near the session low today and hit a fresh contract low. Bears are still in firm technical control. Prices are still in a 3 1/2 month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December natural gas closed up 5.1 cents at $6.834 today. Prices closed near the session high on tepid short covering in a bear market today. Bears remain in technical control of nat gas. The next upside price objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $7.332.

CURRENCIES
The December Euro currency closed down 116 points at 1.2625 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. Bears still have the near term technical advantage amid still no solid technical clues that a market low is close at hand. Prices are still in a 3 1/2 month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

The December Japanese yen closed down 37 points at 1.0103 today. Prices closed near mid range today. No serious chart damage has been inflicted but the yen bulls are fading and need to show fresh power soon. A 10 week old uptrend is still in place on the daily bar chart.

The December Swiss franc closed down 143 points at .8521 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and hit a fresh 14 month low. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage and gained more power today.

The December Canadian dollar closed up 127 points at .8452 today. Prices closed nearer the session high on short covering in a bear market. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage, but the bulls have gained some fresh upside technical momentum recently.

The December British pound closed down 303 points at 1.5803 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. Bears still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

The December U.S. dollar index closed up 520 points at 86.86 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. No serious chart damage has occurred recently and the bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage.



Precious Metals Market
December gold futures closed up $6.50 at $724.70 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. Short covering was featured. Bearish "outside markets"--a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices--limited the upside in gold today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage.

December silver futures closed steady at $9.73 an ounce today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices pressured the silver market today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage. Prices are still trading below a 3 1/2 month old downtrend line on the daily bar chart.
December N.Y. copper closed up 55 points at 183.45 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices limited the upside in copper today. Copper bears still have the near term technical advantage. Prices are still in a four month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

FOOD & FIBER
SOFTS
March sugar closed up 27 points at 12.29 cents today. Prices closed near the session high today on more short covering. Prices are still trading below a 2 1/2 month
old downtrend line drawn from the August and September highs.

December coffee closed down 5 points at 112.95 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today in quieter trading. Buying interest was limited by Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices. Coffee bears still have the near term technical advantage. Prices are still in a 10-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

December cocoa closed down $86 at $1,967 today. Prices closed near the session low today amid bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices. Cocoa bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage and gained more power today.

December cotton closed up 27 points at 44.56 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low today in quiet trading. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices limited buying interest in cotton today. The cotton bears still have the solid near term technical advantage.

January orange juice closed up 65 points at $.8095. Prices closed near the session low today. Short covering was featured. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices limited the upside in FCOJ today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage as prices are still in a four month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

January lumber futures closed up $4.50 at $203.10 today. Prices closed near the session high and were supported by short covering in a bear market. Lumber bears still have the near-term technical advantage.

GRAINS
December corn futures closed up 3/4 cent at $4.02 1/4 today. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices pressured the corn market today. Prices traded sharply higher early in the session on short covering, but the gains faded as the day wore on.

January soybeans closed up 7 1/4 cents at $9.40 1/4 today. Prices closed near mid range today. Bearish "outside markets" a stronger U.S. dollar and sharply lower crude oil prices did limit the upside in beans today. Short covering was featured today. Soybean bears remain in near term technical command.

December soybean meal closed up $1.90 at $274.90 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Short covering was featured. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage.

December bean oil closed up 114 points at 34.75 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today on short covering in a bear market. Bean oil prices are still in a four month old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bears still have the near-term technical advantage.

December Chicago SRW wheat closed up 25 3/4 cents at $5.62 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today on short covering. The wheat bears still have the overall near term technical advantage. Prices are still in a 6 1/2 month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

LIVESTOCK
December live cattle closed up $0.55 at $93.25 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and hit a fresh three week high on short covering. While the bears do still have the overall near term technical advantage, the bulls have gained some upside momentum recently, but have more work to do to better suggest a market low is in place. Prices are still trading below a four-month-old downtrend line on the daily bar chart.

November feeder cattle closed up $1.07 at $99.70 today. Prices closed near the session high today and closed at a fresh three-week high close on more short covering in a bear market. Bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage, but the bulls have gained technical momentum recently. Prices are still in a three month old downtrend on the daily bar chart, but now just barely.

December lean hogs closed down $0.40 at $54.40 today. Prices closed near the session low again today and hit a fresh contract low. Hog bears still have the near term technical advantage, amid bearish cash market fundamentals. Prices are still in a three month old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

February pork bellies closed down $0.87 at $83.90 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today and scored a fresh contract low. Bears still have the near term technical advantage. Prices are in a six week old downtrend on the daily bar chart.


December U.S. T-Bonds closed up 8/32 at 113 12/32 today. Prices closed nearer the session high on short covering in a bear market. T-Bonds and Notes will continue to likely trade in an inverse posture with the U.S. stock indexes. The next downside price objective for the T-Bond bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the October low of 112 17/32.

Stock Market Commentary For Monday Morning

The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight due to profit taking as it consolidates some of last Thursday's rally but remains above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1301.15. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the October 14th reaction high crossing at 1499.00 are needed to confirm that a bottom has been posted. If December renews this fall's decline, the 87% retracement level of the 2002-2007-rally crossing at 979.90 is the next downside target. The December NASDAQ 100 was down 3.50 pts. at 1333.50 as of 5:52 AM CST. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 1361.25. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1364.25. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1301.15. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1276.45. Overnight action sets the stage for a lower opening by December NASDAQ 100 when the day session begins later this morning.

The December S&P 500 index was slightly higher overnight as it consolidates above the 20-day moving average crossing at 941.00. Last week's breakout above this resistance level signals that a larger-degree short covering rally into early-November appears to be unfolding. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. However, it will take closes above the October 14th reaction high crossing at 1066.50 to confirm that a bottom has been posted. If December renews this fall's decline, the March 2003 low crossing at 787.50 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 984.00. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 992.20. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 941.00. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 924.25. The December S&P 500 Index was up 2.70 pts. at 970.00 as of 5:58 AM CST. Overnight action sets the stage for a higher opening by the December S&P 500 index when the day session begins later this morning.

December crude oil was lower overnight as it consolidates below the 62% retracement level of the 2007-2008-rally crossing at 68.84. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 72.96 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December renews this fall's decline, the 75% retracement level of the aforementioned rally crossing at 51.81 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 70.60. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 72.96. First support is last Monday's low crossing at 61.30. Second support is the 75% retracement level crossing at 51.81.